Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Boston Red Sox

Kickoff: 2026-06-23 00:41 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 3–2 Boston Red Sox

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 44.40%2.25fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.537%
Kelly +0.956%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.28%44.36%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.162.2848.78%46.21%46.30%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 55.60%1.80fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.659%
Kelly +1.46%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.72%55.64%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.711.711.8260.61%58.39%58.48%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 44.40%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 55.60%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.28, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -5.44%E -2.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV +1.20%E +0.659%K +1.46%G +0.018%1.9%2026-06-22 20:59
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.99%E -4.38%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.58%E -0.894%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 00:29
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.996%E -0.447%K -0.810%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-22 22:30
BetAnything🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.88%E -0.852%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-22 23:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.69%E -1.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-22 22:19
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 22:19
ReBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 22:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.25%E -1.87%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 22:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.552%E -0.246%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-23 00:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-22 21:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:49
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.99%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-22 21:19
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.81%E -2.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 22:19
GTbets🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +1.22%E +0.537%K +0.956%G +0.012%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-22 22:20
Everygame🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV +1.22%E +0.537%K +0.956%G +0.012%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-22 22:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.108%E -0.048%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:30
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -0.108%E -0.048%K -0.086%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 23:20
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.99%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 23:10
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:19
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:18
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.88%E -2.77%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.36%E -2.54%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 22:20
MyBookie.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.62%EV -1.88%E -0.852%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.38%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-22 22:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-22 22:09
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 23:20
Bovada🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.66%E -1.69%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 00:39
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:09
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:20
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:18
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.99%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.99%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 00:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 00:29
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.92%E -2.88%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 00:39
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-22 22:19
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:19
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:20
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:20
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:20
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.22%E -1.48%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 23:19
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:49
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.77%E -3.22%K -6.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.47%E -3.22%K -7.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 22:19
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 00:39
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.03%E -3.57%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-23 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.59%E -3.92%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 00:40
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.59%E -3.92%K -9.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -8.10%E -3.91%K -7.57%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -6.59%E -3.92%K -9.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 00:18
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.55%E -2.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.14%E -4.28%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 22:19
Grosvenor🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -4.99%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -7.70%E -4.64%K -11.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.33%E -1.06%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.25%E -5.00%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-06-23 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-06-23 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-06-23 00:40
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-23 00:30
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-06-22 22:29
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-06-23 00:39
ProphetX2.25I 44.44%NM 44.03%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.97%0.9%2026-06-23 00:30
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-06-23 00:40
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.1%2026-06-23 00:10
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.3%2026-06-23 00:29