Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 19:11 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 4–2 Arizona Diamondbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 43.75%2.29fair odd
EV +0.189%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.146%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%44.00%43.73%45.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.2948.78%45.68%45.45%43.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 56.25%1.78fair odd
EV +0.124%
Edge +0.070%
Kelly +0.159%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.09%56.00%56.27%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.701.7860.61%58.92%58.82%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 43.75%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 56.25%. For Colorado Rockies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.286. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.290, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.189%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV +0.189%E +0.082%K +0.146%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 19:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +0.189%E +0.082%K +0.146%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 19:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV +0.189%E +0.082%K +0.146%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 19:10
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -0.249%E -0.109%K -0.194%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-16 19:10
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -1.12%E -0.497%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 18:45
Bovada🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -1.12%E -0.497%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 19:10
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.56%E -0.694%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-16 18:55
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.56%E -0.694%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 17:55
BetAnything🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -2.00%E -0.892%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -2.69%E -1.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -2.44%E -1.09%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 19:01
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -3.31%E -1.50%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.00%E -0.569%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 19:05
ReBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 13:15
MyBookie.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 19:05
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 12:20
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 10:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:55
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 19:00
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 19:00
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 19:00
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 18:55
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 19:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 19:00
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 19:00
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 03:35
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 13:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 18:50
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 18:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 18:35
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:10
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.75%E -1.70%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.19%E -4.36%K -11.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 07:30
Caesars🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-16 12:43
Bet Right🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 01:40
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:00
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.62%E -2.12%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 19:00
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 11:15
SportsBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -5.06%E -2.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 10:45
NordicBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.50%E -2.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 18:10
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.50%E -2.55%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.94%E -2.92%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 18:10
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 09:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 19:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 18:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:45
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.94%E -2.76%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.06%E -3.63%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.37%E -2.98%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.81%E -2.23%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 17:55
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -6.37%E -2.98%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.50%E -3.27%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -8.12%E -3.87%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV +0.124%E +0.070%K +0.159%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 19:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.31%E -5.03%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 19:10
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.31%E -5.03%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -2.13%E -1.22%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.31%E -5.03%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -3.25%E -1.89%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 19:10
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.31%E -5.03%K -9.82%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.38%E -2.57%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%0.2%2026-05-16 19:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-05-16 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-05-16 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-05-16 19:10
ProphetX2.29I 43.67%NM 43.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.82%1.1%2026-05-16 19:10
Polymarket2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-16 03:20
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-16 17:15
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-05-16 19:10
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-05-16 19:10
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.4%2026-05-16 19:10