Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies v Arizona Diamondbacks

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 00:41 UTC

Final: Colorado Rockies 1–9 Arizona Diamondbacks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Colorado Rockies (Local)

Prediction 47.88%2.09fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.905%
Kelly -1.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.93%47.78%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.002.002.0552.63%49.98%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit)

Prediction 52.12%1.92fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.786%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%52.07%52.22%53.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.831.831.8956.50%54.63%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Colorado Rockies (Local): 47.88%; Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit): 52.12%. For Arizona Diamondbacks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.89, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.85%E -0.905%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.85%E -0.905%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.05%E -1.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 00:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.85%E -0.905%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.05%E -1.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 00:40
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.85%E -0.905%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:00
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.96%EV -2.33%E -1.14%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.04%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 00:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.33%E -1.14%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 00:00
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.33%E -1.14%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 22:00
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.81%E -1.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.49%E -0.786%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-16 00:25
Everygame🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.81%E -1.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.49%E -0.786%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-15 21:54
BetUS🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.81%E -1.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.01%E -1.07%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-16 00:20
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.49%E -0.786%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 00:00
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 00:00
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 00:00
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 00:00
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 00:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 00:00
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 00:00
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:57
Bovada🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 00:39
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.29%E -1.63%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-15 22:00
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.53%E -1.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 00:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 22:40
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 22:38
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 21:50
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:35
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 23:40
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 21:55
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 21:59
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 00:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 00:40
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-15 22:00
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 00:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 00:39
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 23:40
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.66%E -3.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.66%E -3.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 00:00
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.66%E -3.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.66%E -3.12%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 00:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 22:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-15 08:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.25%E -2.12%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.74%E -4.37%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 21:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.73%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 23:40
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.09%E -2.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-15 22:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 00:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.21%E -2.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 00:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.16%E -3.14%K -6.42%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.09%E -2.22%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 00:40
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 00:35
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 00:35
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 00:35
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 00:39
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.61%E -2.52%K -5.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 22:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.64%E -3.41%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.18%E -3.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 00:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -7.12%E -3.67%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.13%E -2.82%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-16 00:40
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.04%E -4.76%K -10.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.57%E -1.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 00:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly2.08I 48.08%NM 48.13%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.87%-0.1%2026-05-15 23:25
Novig2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-05-16 00:20
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-16 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-16 00:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-16 00:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-16 00:40
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-05-16 00:40
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-15 16:15
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-05-15 21:55
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-05-15 22:05