The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cleveland Guardians v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 00:00 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 3–7 Tampa Bay Rays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 49.17%2.03fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.825%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.75%49.12%49.10%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.931.932.0057.14%51.79%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 50.83%1.97fair odd
EV -0.891%
Edge -0.457%
Kelly -0.938%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.88%50.90%52.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.871.881.9558.82%53.36%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 49.17%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 50.83%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.891%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -1.65%E -0.825%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -2.42%E -1.26%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-17 23:50
Caesars🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -1.65%E -0.825%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.97%E -3.23%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-17 22:54
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -1.40%E -0.721%K -1.49%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-17 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.91%E -0.988%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-17 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.91%E -0.988%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-17 23:45
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.91%E -0.988%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-17 23:45
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.91%E -0.988%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-17 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -2.63%E -1.33%K -2.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -2.92%E -1.53%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.9%2026-10-17 23:25
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.91%E -0.988%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-17 23:05
BetAnything🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -1.91%E -0.988%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-17 23:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-17 23:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.13%E -1.59%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.51%E -4.73%K -10.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-17 13:29
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -0.891%E -0.457%K -0.938%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-17 21:15
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.43%E -1.81%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-17 08:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-17 22:03
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 22:35
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 21:15
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 13:25
ReBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 13:25
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 01:25
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.96%E -2.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-17 05:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.97%E -3.23%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 08:34
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.11%E -2.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.97%E -3.23%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 08:35
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.60%E -2.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 13:00
Bovada🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.60%E -2.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 23:50
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.60%E -2.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.96%E -2.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.60%E -2.37%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.96%E -2.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 08:35
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.94%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.94%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.94%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.94%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 23:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 13:05
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 23:05
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 23:05
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 23:05
SportsBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.09%E -2.64%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.96%E -2.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 23:25
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.58%E -2.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -3.94%E -2.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-17 20:10
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 13:04
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 13:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 13:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 23:24
TABtouch🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.58%E -2.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.45%E -2.37%K -5.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 23:05
picklebet_au🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -5.58%E -2.91%K -6.07%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.97%E -3.23%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-17 23:05
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.18%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.92%E -1.53%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 01:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.08%E -3.18%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.92%E -1.53%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 19:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.57%E -3.46%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.47%E -2.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 23:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.57%E -3.46%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.47%E -2.94%K -6.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-17 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.57%E -3.46%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.97%E -3.23%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 23:49
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.57%E -3.46%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.97%E -3.23%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 23:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.92%EV -6.57%E -3.46%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.08%EV -7.50%E -4.12%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.06%E -3.74%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.50%E -4.12%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 23:33
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.04%E -4.30%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.65%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-17 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -9.03%E -4.88%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.50%E -4.12%K -9.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-17 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -9.03%E -4.88%K -10.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.51%E -4.73%K -10.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 13:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.15%EV -11.49%E -6.38%K -14.36%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 50.85%EV -11.56%E -6.65%K -15.63%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-17 13:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.28%EV -13.94%E -7.97%K -18.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.72%EV -13.60%E -8.00%K -19.42%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-17 23:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-10-17 23:55
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-10-17 23:55
Novig◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-10-17 21:50
ProphetX◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-10-17 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-10-17 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-10-17 23:35
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-17 19:30
Polymarket◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%1.0%2026-10-17 14:45
BetOpenly◎2.03I 49.26%NM 48.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.52%1.6%2026-10-17 23:30
Smarkets◎1.95I 51.28%NM 49.74%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.26%3.1%2026-10-17 23:55