La scuola delle quote

Cleveland Guardians v Seattle Mariners

Inizio: 2026-06-28 17:41 UTC

Finale: Cleveland Guardians 6–5 Seattle Mariners

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Casa)

Previsione 53.02%1.89quota equa
EV -1.37%
Vantaggio -0.739%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.59%53.00%53.02%53.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.801.801.8657.14%55.45%55.56%53.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Seattle Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.98%2.13quota equa
EV -0.412%
Vantaggio -0.194%
Kelly -0.368%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.19%47.00%46.98%48.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.032.022.1251.28%49.22%49.50%47.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.37%E -0.739%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.76%E -1.33%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.90%E -1.03%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 16:20
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.881%E -0.418%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 17:30
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.35%E -0.643%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.35%E -0.643%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 16:19
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-28 16:39
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-28 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 16:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 16:20
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 16:39
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.412%E -0.194%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 17:29
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.881%E -0.418%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:29
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.881%E -0.418%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:29
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.881%E -0.418%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 16:40
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:10
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:39
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:40
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:40
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:39
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:40
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:40
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 16:19
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:17
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:29
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:19
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:19
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:40
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:39
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:40
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 17:39
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:19
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 17:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:29
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:19
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 16:19
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 17:30
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 16:29
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 17:29
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 16:30
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:39
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:39
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.64%E -2.29%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:29
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.64%E -2.29%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:29
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 16:29
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:30
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 16:19
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.46%E -3.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-28 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.93%E -4.04%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 17:18
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-06-28 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-28 17:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-28 16:29
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-06-28 17:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-06-28 17:40
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-06-28 17:30
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%4.8%2026-06-28 17:30