L’École des cotes

Cleveland Guardians v Seattle Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-28 17:41 UTC

Score final : Cleveland Guardians 6–5 Seattle Mariners

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 53.02%1.89cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.739%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.59%53.00%53.02%53.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.801.801.8657.14%55.45%55.56%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Seattle Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.98%2.13cote équitable
EV -0.412%
Avantage -0.194%
Kelly -0.368%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.19%47.00%46.98%48.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.032.022.1251.28%49.22%49.50%47.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -1.37%E -0.739%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -2.76%E -1.33%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.90%E -1.03%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 16:20
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -0.881%E -0.418%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-28 17:30
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.35%E -0.643%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.35%E -0.643%K -1.23%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 16:19
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-28 16:39
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-28 16:20
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 16:29
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-28 16:20
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -2.97%E -1.62%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-28 16:39
GTbets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -0.412%E -0.194%K -0.368%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-28 17:29
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.881%E -0.418%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:29
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.881%E -0.418%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:29
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -0.881%E -0.418%K -0.794%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-28 17:29
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 16:40
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-28 16:40
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.50%E -1.92%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-28 17:10
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:39
LeoVegas1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:40
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:40
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:39
Bally Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:40
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-28 16:40
SportsBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.03%E -2.22%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 16:19
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:10
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:17
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 17:29
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:19
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-28 16:19
BetRivers1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:40
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:40
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:39
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 16:40
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 17:00
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 17:39
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:19
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 17:10
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:29
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 16:19
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 16:19
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.56%E -2.53%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.40%E -4.31%K -8.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-28 17:30
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -2.29%E -1.10%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-28 16:29
Bovada1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.23%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-28 17:29
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.17%E -2.04%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-28 16:30
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.09%E -2.84%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.11%E -2.53%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 17:39
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 16:19
Dabble (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 17:39
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.64%E -2.29%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:29
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -4.64%E -2.29%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 16:29
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 17:30
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.62%E -3.16%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 16:29
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:19
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.70%E -1.80%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-28 17:30
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.05%E -3.02%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-28 16:19
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -6.15%E -3.47%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -7.46%E -3.79%K -7.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-28 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -7.21%E -4.12%K -9.61%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV -7.93%E -4.04%K -8.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 17:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%0.4%2026-06-28 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-28 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-06-28 17:40
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-28 16:29
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-28 17:39
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-06-28 17:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-06-28 17:40
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%2.3%2026-06-28 17:30
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%4.8%2026-06-28 17:30