The School of Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-07-19 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 45.99%2.17fair odd
EV -0.205%
Edge -0.095%
Kelly -0.176%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.07%46.05%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.992.072.052.1750%48%49%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 54.01%1.85fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.93%53.95%54.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.711.771.771.8158%57%56%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%EV -0.205%E -0.095%K -0.176%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%EV -3.32%E -1.85%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-18 18:20
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.13%E -0.523%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-18 18:00
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.04%E -0.960%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 18:00
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.04%E -0.960%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-18 18:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:19
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:19
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 21:20
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.42%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.56%E -3.79%K -8.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 18:25
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-18 18:20
DraftKings2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.88%E -1.86%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.94%E -2.81%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.34%E -2.09%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 20:25
Unibet (UK)2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.80%E -2.32%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.86%E -2.17%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 18:20
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.80%E -2.32%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.94%E -2.81%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:20
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.80%E -2.32%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.94%E -2.81%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 18:20
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.24%E -1.24%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-18 17:35
Bet Right2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -5.26%E -2.56%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 18:20
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 18:00
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-18 19:25
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 17:35
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.40%E -2.49%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 20:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.94%E -2.81%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.94%E -2.81%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 18:20
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 18:17
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 18:20
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 18:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 17:45
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 17:45
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.48%E -3.13%K -7.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-18 17:45
ReBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.72%E -2.79%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.02%E -3.46%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-18 18:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.78%E -1.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-18 17:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.02%E -4.01%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.10%E -4.13%K -9.86%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 46.22%EV -8.48%E -4.26%K -8.57%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.78%EV -7.64%E -4.47%K -10.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 18:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 47.01%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.99%-0.1%2026-07-18 18:05
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-18 20:35
Novig2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-18 21:25
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%4.9%2026-07-18 21:30
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 46.63%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%8.3%2026-07-18 21:30