Cleveland Guardians v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-07-17 23:11 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

53%

47%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 53.39%1.87momio equitativo

EV -0.155%

Ventaja -0.083%

Kelly -0.179%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

51.95%53.44%53.33%54.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.751.801.801.8757.14%55.69%55.56%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 46.61%2.15momio equitativo

EV -0.727%

Ventaja -0.341%

Kelly -0.643%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

45.74%46.56%46.67%48.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.002.052.052.1350.00%48.81%48.78%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Everygame	1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -0.155%E -0.083%K -0.179%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-17 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.22%E -0.661%K -1.44%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-17 19:24
TAB	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.22%E -0.661%K -1.44%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-17 19:19
GTbets	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.66%E -0.786%K -1.49%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-07-17 19:45
Pinnacle	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%	2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -1.66%E -0.786%K -1.49%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-07-17 19:29
BetOnline.ag	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-17 19:45
LowVig.ag	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-17 19:45
BetUS	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-07-17 20:24
BetAnything	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-17 19:44
Paddy Power	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-17 19:23
Fliff	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.29%E -1.25%K -2.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-17 20:39
1xBet	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -0.727%E -0.341%K -0.643%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-07-17 13:39
BetRivers	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-07-17 19:29
Svenska Spel	1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -3.06%E -1.47%K -2.83%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-07-17 19:29
FanDuel	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.83%E -1.55%K -3.45%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-17 19:24
MyBookie.ag	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.36%E -1.86%K -4.15%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-17 20:19
Bet Victor	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-17 20:13
betano_uk	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-17 20:13
Unibet (SE)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-17 19:29
Unibet (NL)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-17 19:29
ReBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-17 19:29
LeoVegas	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-17 20:47
Fanatics	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-17 19:19
theScore Bet	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-17 19:24
Caesars	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-17 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-17 19:20
Coral	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-17 19:20
Betway	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-07-17 19:18
SportsBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-17 19:24
PlayUp	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-17 19:24
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-17 19:19
Neds	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.85%E -2.90%K -5.74%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-17 19:19
William Hill	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 20:14
BoyleSports	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.89%E -2.16%K -4.87%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 20:19
Bovada	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-07-17 19:17
DraftKings	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-17 20:19
Casumo	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-17 19:29
LeoVegas (SE)	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-17 19:29
Unibet	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-17 19:29
betPARX	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-17 19:29
ATG (SE)	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-17 19:29
Bally Bet	1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.43%E -2.47%K -5.60%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-17 19:29
Unibet (FR)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-17 20:46
Unibet (UK)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-17 20:47
Bet Right	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-17 19:24
Coolbet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-17 19:24
Dabble (AU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-07-17 20:29
LiveScore Bet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-17 19:29
TABtouch	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-17 19:29
Virgin Bet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.92%E -2.41%K -4.73%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-17 19:29
Betsson	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.39%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-17 19:19
NordicBet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.39%E -2.65%K -5.23%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-17 19:19
Betclic (FR)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.32%E -3.14%K -6.26%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-17 20:19
Winamax (DE)	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.96%E -2.79%K -6.36%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-17 19:29
Hard Rock Bet	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-17 16:04
PointsBet (AU)	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.12%E -1.01%K -1.93%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-17 07:24
BetMGM	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.49%E -3.10%K -7.14%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-17 20:48
Marathon Bet	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -3.99%E -1.94%K -3.76%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-17 13:34
Betr (AU)	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-17 19:19
Winamax (FR)	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -6.03%E -3.43%K -7.93%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-17 19:29
888sport	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-17 19:19
Mr Green (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-17 19:19
888sport (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-17 19:19
Tipico (DE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.46%E -2.17%K -4.24%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-17 19:29
Grosvenor	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.56%E -3.75%K -8.75%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.79%E -3.39%K -6.79%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-17 19:29

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
ProphetX	1.88I 53.19%NM 53.12%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.88%	0.1%	2026-07-17 20:49
Matchbook	1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%	0.5%	2026-07-17 20:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%	0.8%	2026-07-17 19:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%	0.8%	2026-07-17 19:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%	2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%	0.8%	2026-07-17 19:49
BetOpenly	1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%	2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%	0.9%	2026-07-17 20:24
Polymarket	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.0%	2026-07-17 08:30
Kalshi	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.0%	2026-07-17 19:14
Novig	1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%	2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%	1.0%	2026-07-17 20:43
Smarkets	1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%	2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%	2.4%	2026-07-17 20:47