Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-06-08 22:41 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 5–7 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 54.00%1.85fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%53.82%54.05%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.781.8358.14%56.28%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 46.00%2.17fair odd
EV -0.638%
Edge -0.295%
Kelly -0.550%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.18%45.95%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.072.062.1651.28%48.30%48.54%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 54.00%; New York Yankees (Visit): 46.00%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.16, with an expected value of -0.638%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 13:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 19:59
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -1.18%E -0.646%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -10.30%E -5.28%K -10.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:39
Pinnacle🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.72%E -0.946%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.02%E -0.947%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-08 22:39
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.72%E -0.946%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.94%E -1.39%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-08 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.47%EV -2.26%E -1.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53%EV -4.32%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-08 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -2.26%E -1.25%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-08 20:00
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.10%E -0.511%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-08 22:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.02%E -0.947%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-08 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.02%E -0.947%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-08 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-08 19:48
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 19:59
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.80%E -1.56%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.30%E -5.28%K -10.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-08 20:18
Everygame🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.638%E -0.295%K -0.550%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-08 22:38
BetUS🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.10%E -0.511%K -0.955%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-08 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.78%E -2.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 21:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.78%E -2.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 21:39
Bovada🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:39
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:39
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:39
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:39
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:39
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -5.24%E -2.54%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-08 22:40
SportsBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -3.34%E -1.87%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -6.62%E -3.26%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 19:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-08 20:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-08 16:58
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:39
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.88%E -2.18%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.16%E -3.02%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 17:09
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 16:49
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 13:09
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 13:20
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 20:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.42%E -2.50%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.00%E -4.00%K -8.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-08 16:29
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.86%E -1.85%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-08 19:30
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.32%E -2.08%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 16:39
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.78%E -2.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 22:19
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.78%E -2.31%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 22:18
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 15:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 15:19
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -4.96%E -2.82%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -7.08%E -3.50%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 22:40
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 22:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 15:19
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 15:17
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-08 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 22:29
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 20:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 20:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.50%E -3.14%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 20:29
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 21:49
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 15:18
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.04%E -3.47%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 16:49
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.40%E -1.62%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 14:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.58%E -3.80%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.70%E -2.78%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-08 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -7.12%E -4.14%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -7.54%E -3.75%K -7.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 22:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-06-08 22:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-08 22:20
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-08 21:00
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-08 22:40
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-06-08 22:40
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.4%2026-06-08 22:40
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-06-08 22:40
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-06-08 22:39