Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 22:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 3–2 Los Angeles Angels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 55.31%1.81fair odd
EV +0.105%
Edge +0.058%
Kelly +0.129%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.63%55.32%55.27%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.741.731.8160.61%57.61%57.64%55.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 44.69%2.24fair odd
EV -0.333%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.271%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.68%44.73%46.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.132.152.2348.78%47.02%46.62%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 55.31%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 44.69%. For Cleveland Guardians (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.808. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.810, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.105%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%EV +0.105%E +0.058%K +0.129%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-12 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.00%E -0.559%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -7.48%E -3.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -1.00%E -0.559%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -7.48%E -3.62%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-12 22:00
LeoVegas🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 22:00
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:59
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:59
Unibet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 22:00
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 22:00
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 22:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -1.55%E -0.873%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -7.93%E -3.85%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 22:00
GTbets🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.67%E -0.761%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 22:09
Pinnacle🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.67%E -0.761%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 21:25
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.12%E -0.969%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-12 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.57%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.57%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 22:10
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.57%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-12 22:08
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:00
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.11%E -1.19%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 22:00
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.333%E -0.149%K -0.271%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 18:20
BetAnything🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -1.67%E -0.761%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-12 22:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.21%E -1.84%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -4.36%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-11 17:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 21:10
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 21:05
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 11:28
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.80%E -2.25%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 21:05
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.77%E -2.16%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-12 22:10
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.32%E -2.50%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-12 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.57%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 19:15
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 21:19
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.36%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-12 22:05
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:35
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.25%E -2.48%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 21:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 21:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.87%E -2.83%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 21:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.67%E -0.761%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-12 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.57%E -1.18%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 19:40
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 10:15
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 08:09
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 21:54
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.36%E -2.04%K -3.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-12 22:10
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.43%E -3.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 11:29
Neds🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:40
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 19:40
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 22:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 22:10
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.98%E -3.52%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.38%E -4.09%K -7.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-12 22:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.53%E -3.87%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.14%E -2.93%K -5.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 21:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.67%E -0.761%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 20:35
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.64%E -4.57%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.91%E -1.82%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-12 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.74%E -5.30%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -1.67%E -0.761%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-12 11:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 55.31%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.69%-0.1%2026-05-12 22:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-05-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-12 22:10
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-12 22:10
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-05-12 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-05-12 22:10
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.5%2026-05-12 22:10
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%2.0%2026-05-12 22:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-12 22:10
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%2.4%2026-05-12 22:10