Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians v Los Angeles Angels

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 17:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 4–2 Los Angeles Angels

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 58.49%1.71fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.678%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.42%58.49%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.631.621.6962.50%61.22%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visit)

Prediction 41.51%2.41fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.880%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.51%41.58%41.51%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.3845.45%43.31%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 58.49%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 41.51%. For Cleveland Guardians (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.69, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.15%E -0.678%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -3.29%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 16:25
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%EV -1.15%E -0.678%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%EV -3.71%E -1.60%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-13 17:05
theScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.52%EV -1.73%E -1.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.48%EV -1.63%E -0.688%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.7%2026-05-13 16:55
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.63%E -0.688%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-13 16:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 16:35
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 17:09
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.46%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.54%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-13 16:30
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -2.88%E -1.23%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-13 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-13 16:35
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 17:10
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 16:35
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 17:09
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.32%E -1.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.69%E -3.95%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-13 17:09
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-13 16:00
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 16:15
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 16:35
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.49%E -2.11%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -1.21%E -0.510%K -0.880%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-13 16:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -3.29%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-13 16:05
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.71%E -1.60%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-13 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-13 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.07%E -2.48%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -6.20%E -2.74%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 16:20
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.63%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.37%EV -4.12%E -1.78%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 16:00
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 16:30
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.66%E -2.86%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.95%E -2.16%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 12:11
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 14:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-13 16:10
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 12:25
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 07:40
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 17:10
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-13 17:10
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.24%E -3.23%K -8.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 16:00
LeoVegas🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 16:10
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 16:10
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 16:10
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 16:10
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 16:10
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 16:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 16:10
Fliff🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 17:10
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.55%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 17:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -2.46%E -1.05%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-13 12:35
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.29%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 16:10
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.29%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 16:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.29%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 16:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -3.29%E -1.41%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-13 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.54%E -1.97%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 05:25
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:00
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.61%E -2.94%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.74I 57.47%NM 57.56%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.44%-0.2%2026-05-13 17:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-05-13 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-13 17:10
Novig1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-13 17:10
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-05-13 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-13 17:10
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-13 17:05
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-05-13 17:10
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.6%2026-05-13 17:10
Kalshi1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%1.9%2026-05-13 16:40