默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians v Houston Astros

开赛时间: 2026-04-20 22:11 UTC

最终结果: Cleveland Guardians 2–9 Houston Astros

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

61 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians (主队)

预测 55.02%1.82公平赔率
EV -0.956%
优势 -0.531%
Kelly -1.20%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.63%54.96%55.05%55.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.741.741.8058.82%57.45%57.47%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Houston Astros (客队)

预测 44.98%2.22公平赔率
EV -0.154%
优势 -0.069%
Kelly -0.126%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.22

博彩公司预测分布
44.10%45.04%44.95%47.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.122.122.2250.00%47.18%47.17%45.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cleveland Guardians (主队):55.02%;Houston Astros (客队):44.98%。 对于“Houston Astros (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.223。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.220,期望值为-0.154%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (61 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.956%E -0.531%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.05%E -5.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 20:25
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.06%E -1.16%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.95%E -0.896%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.06%E -1.16%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-20 21:30
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.05%E -0.479%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-20 22:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 20:04
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.80%E -3.80%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:00
GTbets🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.154%E -0.069%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-20 21:50
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.604%E -0.273%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.05%E -0.479%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 21:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.05%E -0.479%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 21:49
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.05%E -0.479%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 21:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:30
FanDuel🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 22:00
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-20 20:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 21:54
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -8.25%E -4.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 21:54
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:35
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:54
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:55
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.20%E -1.97%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 21:55
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:00
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.45%E -3.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.45%E -3.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:54
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.45%E -3.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.45%E -3.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:54
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.80%E -3.80%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 22:10
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 21:54
SportsBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.20%E -1.97%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:00
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 21:59
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 20:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 20:54
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 21:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.80%E -3.80%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 21:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.95%E -0.896%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 22:09
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 21:54
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 21:52
PlayUp🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 21:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:05
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 20:45
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 20:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 21:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 21:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.80%E -3.80%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 22:09
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.91%E -3.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 22:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 20:09
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.80%E -3.80%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 22:03
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-20 22:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 22:05
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 22:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 22:09
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-04-20 22:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-04-20 22:10
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-04-20 22:10
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%3.9%2026-04-20 21:59