A Escola das Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Houston Astros

Início: 2026-04-20 22:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 2–9 Houston Astros

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 55.02%1.82odd justa
EV -0.956%
Vantagem -0.531%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.96%55.05%55.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.741.741.8058.82%57.45%57.47%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Houston Astros (Visitante)

Previsão 44.98%2.22odd justa
EV -0.154%
Vantagem -0.069%
Kelly -0.126%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.22

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.10%45.04%44.95%47.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.122.2250.00%47.18%47.17%45.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.956%E -0.531%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.05%E -5.02%K -10.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-20 20:25
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.06%E -1.16%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.95%E -0.896%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 21:25
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -2.06%E -1.16%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-20 21:30
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.05%E -0.479%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-20 22:09
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-20 20:04
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.80%E -3.80%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:00
GTbets1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -0.154%E -0.069%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-20 21:50
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.604%E -0.273%K -0.499%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-20 21:50
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.05%E -0.479%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 21:49
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.05%E -0.479%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 21:49
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -1.05%E -0.479%K -0.878%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-20 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:30
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -3.16%E -1.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:30
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.85%E -1.32%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-20 22:00
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-20 20:20
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -3.75%E -1.75%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-20 21:54
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 21:30
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%EV -3.71%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -8.25%E -4.04%K -7.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 21:54
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:55
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:35
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:54
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:55
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.20%E -1.97%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-20 21:55
Fanatics1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 22:00
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.45%E -3.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:54
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.45%E -3.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:54
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.45%E -3.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:54
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -6.45%E -3.10%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:54
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.26%E -2.45%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.80%E -3.80%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 22:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 21:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-20 21:54
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.20%E -1.97%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 22:00
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 21:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 20:55
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 20:55
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 20:55
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 20:54
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 21:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.81%E -2.78%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.80%E -3.80%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-20 21:59
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -1.95%E -0.896%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-20 21:54
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 22:09
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 21:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 21:54
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.30%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-20 21:52
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 21:50
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 22:05
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 20:45
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.65%E -2.19%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-20 20:44
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 21:54
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.36%E -3.12%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.80%E -3.80%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 22:09
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.91%E -3.46%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 22:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.55%E -2.64%K -5.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 20:09
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.46%E -3.80%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.80%E -3.80%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-20 22:03
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-20 22:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 22:05
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 22:10
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-20 22:09
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-04-20 22:10
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-04-20 22:10
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-04-20 22:10
BetOpenly1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%3.9%2026-04-20 21:59