Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians v Detroit Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-06-12 23:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 3–2 Detroit Tigers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prediction 52.94%1.89fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.11%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.59%52.95%52.93%53.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.801.801.8557.14%55.55%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 47.06%2.12fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.560%
Kelly -1.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.05%47.05%47.07%48.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.032.042.1051.28%49.21%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 52.94%; Detroit Tigers (Visit): 47.06%. For Detroit Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -2.06%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -1.65%E -0.788%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-12 16:09
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.06%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.12%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 23:10
BetUS🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.06%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.12%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 23:09
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -2.06%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV -2.12%E -1.02%K -1.96%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 22:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.06%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.59%E -1.25%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.06%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.59%E -1.25%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 23:10
BetAnything🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -2.06%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -2.59%E -1.25%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-12 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.06%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -2.06%E -1.11%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:10
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -3.12%E -1.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.18%E -0.560%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 21:49
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -3.12%E -1.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-12 22:49
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -3.12%E -1.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -4.94%E -2.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 22:10
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.12%E -1.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:50
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.12%E -1.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.23%E -4.22%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 22:49
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.65%E -2.00%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-12 22:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.06%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-12 22:49
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.47%E -2.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.18%E -2.31%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-12 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 23:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 16:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 12:39
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 18:29
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 12:29
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 12:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 12:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-12 16:09
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.00%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.00%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 22:50
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.94%E -2.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 20:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -5.41%E -2.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 21:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 21:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 21:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 21:09
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 07:29
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 23:09
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-12 18:30
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.71%E -2.61%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.23%E -4.22%K -8.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 20:49
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.24%E -2.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.06%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 23:00
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.24%E -2.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.06%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.24%E -2.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.06%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 23:00
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.24%E -2.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.06%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 22:59
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.24%E -2.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.06%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 22:58
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -5.24%E -2.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV -3.06%E -1.48%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-12 23:00
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.94%E -2.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 20:50
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.24%E -2.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.94%E -2.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.24%E -2.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 23:00
Neds🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 12:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -5.76%E -3.24%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -6.82%E -3.45%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 22:50
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.29%E -3.56%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.29%E -3.56%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.00%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.29%E -3.56%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.00%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.29%E -3.56%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.00%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.29%E -3.56%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -4.00%E -1.96%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.82%E -3.88%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.94%E -2.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -6.82%E -3.88%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -4.94%E -2.45%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -6.82%E -3.88%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -7.76%E -3.96%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 22:44
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.53%E -1.72%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 18:28
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 23:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.35%E -4.20%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.88%E -2.94%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 23:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-06-12 23:10
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-12 23:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-12 13:20
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.90%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.10%1.1%2026-06-12 23:10
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-06-12 23:10
Novig1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.7%2026-06-12 23:10
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-06-12 23:09