默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians v Detroit Tigers

开赛时间: 2026-09-04 23:16 UTC

最终结果: Cleveland Guardians 4–3 Detroit Tigers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cleveland Guardians (主队)

预测 56.08%1.78公平赔率
EV -0.183%
优势 -0.103%
Kelly -0.234%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.78

博彩公司预测分布
53.52%56.04%56.10%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.641.711.711.7860.98%58.48%58.48%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

Detroit Tigers (客队)

预测 43.92%2.28公平赔率
EV -1.17%
优势 -0.522%
Kelly -0.939%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
42.86%43.96%43.90%46.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.27%46.51%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Cleveland Guardians (主队):56.08%;Detroit Tigers (客队):43.92%。 对于“Cleveland Guardians (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.783。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.780,期望值为-0.183%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -0.183%E -0.103%K -0.234%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 09:20
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.30%E -0.741%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 13:00
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.61%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 13:10
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 00:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 05:35
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.17%E -0.522%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-04 00:39
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.17%E -0.522%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-04 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.49%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.49%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 01:00
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.49%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 01:44
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 11:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:29
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:59
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:29
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:30
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:30
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:30
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:30
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 00:39
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 10:10
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 11:38
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:00
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 02:05
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:05
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:54
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:58
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.81%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 00:39
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 00:45
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:05
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:55
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.88%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.88%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:59
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:59
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 00:36
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:39
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 22:00
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 00:40
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 00:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 05:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -9.08%E -4.39%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 06:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.03%E -4.90%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 00:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%0.1%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-04 05:30
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%8.1%2026-09-04 14:35