Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Detroit Tigers

Início: 2026-09-04 23:16 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 4–3 Detroit Tigers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 56.08%1.78odd justa
EV -0.183%
Vantagem -0.103%
Kelly -0.234%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.52%56.04%56.10%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.711.711.7860.98%58.48%58.48%56.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Detroit Tigers (Visitante)

Previsão 43.92%2.28odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.522%
Kelly -0.939%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%43.96%43.90%46.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.162.152.2548.78%46.27%46.51%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 56.08%; Detroit Tigers (Visitante): 43.92%. Para Cleveland Guardians (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.783. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.780, com valor esperado de -0.183%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -0.183%E -0.103%K -0.234%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 09:20
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -1.30%E -0.741%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -2.93%E -1.33%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 13:00
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%EV -1.61%E -0.720%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-04 13:10
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 00:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -1.86%E -1.07%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 05:35
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.17%E -0.522%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-04 00:39
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -1.17%E -0.522%K -0.939%G +0.000%1.9%2026-09-04 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.49%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.49%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 01:00
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -2.49%E -1.12%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-04 01:44
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.43%E -1.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 11:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:29
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.99%E -1.73%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 13:30
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-04 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:59
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:29
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:30
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:30
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:30
Bally Bet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -3.55%E -2.06%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 13:30
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 00:39
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 10:10
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 11:38
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 07:00
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 02:05
888sport🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:05
Bet Right🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 10:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:54
TABtouch🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.11%E -2.40%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:58
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -3.81%E -1.74%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 00:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 00:39
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 05:10
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.69%E -2.16%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 00:45
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:05
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:55
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.88%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.67%E -2.75%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -6.88%E -3.25%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 13:29
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.25%E -1.95%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 12:55
NordicBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:59
Betsson🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.13%E -2.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:59
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.23%E -3.09%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -6.01%E -2.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 00:36
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:39
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 22:00
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 00:40
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 00:44
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.57%E -2.59%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 05:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.35%E -3.80%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.76%E -3.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.50%EV -6.91%E -4.16%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.50%EV -9.08%E -4.39%K -8.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 13:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.47%E -4.53%K -11.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.37%E -1.53%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 06:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.03%E -4.90%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%EV -9.96%E -4.86%K -9.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 00:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.76%2.31I 43.29%NM 43.24%0.1%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%0.6%2026-09-04 14:30
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-04 05:30
Polymarket◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.8%2026-09-04 14:35
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%8.1%2026-09-04 14:35