A Escola das Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-05-15 23:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 6–7 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 55.54%1.80odd justa
EV -1.13%
Vantagem -0.635%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.66%55.44%55.64%56.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.94%57.80%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 44.46%2.25odd justa
EV +0.469%
Vantagem +0.208%
Kelly +0.372%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.22%44.56%44.36%46.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.142.152.2648.78%46.69%46.62%44.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.469%E +0.208%K +0.372%G +0.002%1.7%2026-05-15 23:08
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.864%E -0.388%K -0.703%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-15 19:55
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.864%E -0.388%K -0.703%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.864%E -0.388%K -0.703%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-15 23:10
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.24%E -1.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.31%E -0.590%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-15 23:09
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.31%E -0.590%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-15 19:54
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.31%E -0.590%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 15:54
1xBet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.24%E -1.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.75%E -0.793%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-15 22:45
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.75%E -0.793%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-15 20:40
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.20%E -0.999%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.20%E -0.999%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 19:55
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.20%E -0.999%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-15 19:55
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.09%E -1.42%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 16:23
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.09%E -1.42%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-15 16:20
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.09%E -1.42%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 19:52
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.24%E -1.27%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-15 21:25
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-15 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-14 19:50
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-15 00:20
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 23:30
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 12:04
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 12:04
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 12:04
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 13:30
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 16:19
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 12:04
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 19:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 22:35
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 21:25
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 21:25
Marathon Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-15 21:25
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:08
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 22:30
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:09
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -6.20%E -2.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.13%E -0.635%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-15 23:10
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.69%E -0.953%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 22:50
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 23:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-15 13:15
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 22:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.53%E -3.62%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-15 22:50
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.69%E -0.953%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-15 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 23:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 23:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 22:50
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 23:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 23:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%-0.1%2026-05-15 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-15 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-15 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-05-15 22:55
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-14 23:15
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39%1.0%2026-05-15 23:10
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-05-15 23:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-05-15 21:30
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%2.8%2026-05-15 23:10
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%3.2%2026-05-15 23:10