La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v Cincinnati Reds
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 55.54%1.80momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.635%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%55.44%55.64%56.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.731.7859.88%57.94%57.80%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)
Predicción 44.46%2.25momio equitativo
EV +0.469%
Ventaja +0.208%
Kelly +0.372%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.22%44.56%44.36%46.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.142.152.2648.78%46.69%46.62%44.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.50%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.50%EV +0.469%E +0.208%K +0.372%G +0.002% | 1.7% | 2026-05-15 23:08 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.864%E -0.388%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 19:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.864%E -0.388%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%EV -0.864%E -0.388%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%EV -2.24%E -1.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%EV -1.31%E -0.590%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-15 23:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.31%E -0.590%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-15 19:54 |
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -1.31%E -0.590%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 15:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -2.24%E -1.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -1.75%E -0.793%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| BetUS | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.75%E -0.793%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-15 20:40 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.20%E -0.999%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.20%E -0.999%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 19:55 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.20%E -0.999%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-15 19:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -3.09%E -1.42%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 16:23 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.09%E -1.42%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-15 16:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -6.13%E -3.63%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.09%E -1.42%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 19:52 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.24%E -1.27%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.98%E -1.84%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-15 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-14 19:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-15 00:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-14 23:30 |
| 888sport | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 12:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 12:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 12:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 13:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 16:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 12:04 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 19:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 16:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.24%E -4.34%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.42%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 22:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.02%E -2.93%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.87%E -2.27%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-15 21:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 23:08 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 22:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.75%E -2.71%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 23:09 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.66%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%EV -6.20%E -2.94%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -1.13%E -0.635%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.69%E -0.953%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 22:50 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 23:09 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-15 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.69%E -3.98%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.64%E -3.16%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.80%E -1.60%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.53%E -3.62%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-15 22:50 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -1.69%E -0.953%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| Betway | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.35%E -1.93%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.91%E -2.26%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.46%E -2.59%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.57%E -3.28%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.87%E -4.33%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 23:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09% | -0.1% | 2026-05-15 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-14 23:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.61% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-05-15 21:30 |
| Novig | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42% | 2.8% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27% | 3.2% | 2026-05-15 23:10 |