A Escola das Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Cincinnati Reds

Início: 2026-05-16 22:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 7–4 Cincinnati Reds

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 58.10%1.72odd justa
EV -1.24%
Vantagem -0.727%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.96%58.09%58.13%59.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.591.651.651.7062.89%60.65%60.61%58.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cincinnati Reds (Visitante)

Previsão 41.90%2.39odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.650%
Kelly -1.13%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.81%41.91%41.87%43.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.222.272.252.3545.05%43.96%44.44%42.55%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.24%E -0.727%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 18:55
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 22:05
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 21:35
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.53%E -0.650%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 18:35
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.53%E -0.650%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.95%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 22:10
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.95%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 22:10
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 21:55
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-16 21:54
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 21:35
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 14:50
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.30%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 21:10
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:25
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 21:35
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 21:35
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:31
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 21:35
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 22:09
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 16:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:05
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:05
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:05
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 18:55
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 18:55
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 18:55
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 22:10
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.78%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 15:25
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:10
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:54
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:10
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 15:25
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 18:35
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.53%E -0.650%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 16:14
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 22:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 14:45
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 15:29
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:30
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 19:45
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-05-16 22:10
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-16 22:09
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-16 22:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-16 17:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-16 22:10
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-05-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-05-16 22:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-05-16 22:10
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-05-16 22:10