مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cleveland Guardians v Cincinnati Reds

البداية: 2026-05-16 22:11 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Cleveland Guardians 7–4 Cincinnati Reds

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

62 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.10%1.72السعر العادل
EV -1.24%
الأفضلية -0.727%
Kelly -1.77%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.96%58.09%58.13%59.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.591.651.651.7062.89%60.65%60.61%58.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Cincinnati Reds (الضيف)

التنبؤ 41.90%2.39السعر العادل
EV -1.53%
الأفضلية -0.650%
Kelly -1.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.81%41.91%41.87%43.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.222.272.252.3545.05%43.96%44.44%42.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -1.24%E -0.727%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 18:55
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 22:05
Everygame1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.82%E -1.07%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 21:35
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.53%E -0.650%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 18:35
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -1.53%E -0.650%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-16 21:20
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.95%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 22:10
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.95%E -0.832%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 22:10
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-16 21:55
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-16 21:54
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.40%E -1.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 21:35
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 14:50
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -2.98%E -1.78%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -5.30%E -2.34%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 21:10
DraftKings1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 22:10
Dabble (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:25
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 19:25
NordicBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 21:35
Betsson1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -3.56%E -2.14%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.97%E -3.14%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 21:35
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 20:31
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 21:35
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-16 22:09
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:10
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:10
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:10
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 16:15
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:05
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:05
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 22:05
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 18:55
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 18:55
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 18:55
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.14%E -2.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 19:25
Unibet (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -2.37%E -1.02%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 22:10
FanDuel1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -2.78%E -1.20%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 15:25
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -3.20%E -1.39%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 21:10
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 21:10
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.88%E -2.15%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 17:54
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.72%E -2.88%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 21:10
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.04%E -1.76%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 15:25
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.30%E -3.25%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -4.46%E -1.96%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 18:35
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.53%E -0.650%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 16:14
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 22:10
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 14:45
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.88%E -3.63%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 15:29
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.46%E -4.02%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-16 22:10
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.62%E -1.58%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 15:30
Paddy Power1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 19:45
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 21:55
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.05%E -4.40%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -7.63%E -4.80%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -5.72%E -2.54%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 21:55
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (10)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-05-16 22:10
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.99%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.01%0.9%2026-05-16 22:09
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-05-16 22:10
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-16 17:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-05-16 22:10
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-05-16 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.2%2026-05-16 22:10
ProphetX1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%1.9%2026-05-16 22:10
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%2.3%2026-05-16 22:10