Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

2026-10-05 21:10 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Prévision 58.63%1.71cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -3.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%58.59%58.67%60.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.491.631.631.6767.11%61.41%61.35%59.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Chicago White Sox (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.37%2.42cote équitable
EV -0.720%
Avantage -0.300%
Kelly -0.514%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.24%41.41%41.33%42.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.292.292.4048.78%43.74%43.67%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Cleveland Guardians (Local) : 58.63% ; Chicago White Sox (Visiteur) : 41.37%. Pour Chicago White Sox (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.42. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.40, pour une espérance de -0.720% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.55%E -0.650%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-03 20:19
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.96%E -0.828%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-03 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.37%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-03 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.37%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-03 20:04
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.20%E -1.37%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-03 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-03 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:20
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.37%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-03 22:45
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 23:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 20:25
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 20:35
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:20
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.99%E -4.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 20:00
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -3.84%E -2.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -3.20%E -1.37%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-03 22:15
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.84%E -2.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.44%E -1.92%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.84%E -2.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 20:35
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.84%E -2.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.84%E -2.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 20:35
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 20:10
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.10%E -2.69%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.10%E -2.69%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:34
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:59
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:00
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:10
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.75%E -3.48%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.75%E -3.48%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 22:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.60%E -3.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.96%E -0.828%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.60%E -3.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.96%E -0.828%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:35
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.60%E -3.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.60%E -3.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.27%E -2.30%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 22:35
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.77%E -4.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 22:41
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.36%E -4.66%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 20:15
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 20:05
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 01:09
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -9.82%E -4.50%K -8.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 22:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.12%E -5.88%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.720%E -0.300%K -0.514%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.75%EV -12.05%E -8.03%K -24.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.20%E -7.41%K -14.47%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-03 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.91%EV -12.64%E -8.48%K -25.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.09%EV -15.20%E -7.41%K -14.47%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-03 22:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-10-03 22:10
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-03 22:35
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-10-03 23:30
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-10-04 01:25
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-10-03 22:40