Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox

2026-10-05 21:10 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Predicción 58.63%1.71momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -3.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%58.59%58.67%60.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.491.631.631.6767.11%61.41%61.35%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 41.37%2.42momio equitativo
EV -0.720%
Ventaja -0.300%
Kelly -0.514%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.24%41.41%41.33%42.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.292.292.4048.78%43.74%43.67%41.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 58.63%; Chicago White Sox (Visitante): 41.37%. Para Chicago White Sox (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.42. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.40, con un valor esperado de -0.720%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -1.55%E -0.650%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.9%2026-10-03 20:19
GTbets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34%EV -1.96%E -0.828%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.1%2026-10-03 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.37%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-03 20:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44%EV -2.37%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-03 20:04
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%EV -3.20%E -1.37%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-03 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-03 20:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.08%E -1.25%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:20
Pinnacle🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -2.37%E -1.01%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-03 22:45
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 20:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 23:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.67%E -1.61%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 20:25
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 20:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-03 20:35
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:20
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:20
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.68%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-03 22:19
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.25%E -1.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.99%E -4.09%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-03 20:00
Caesars🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79%EV -3.84%E -2.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21%EV -3.20%E -1.37%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-03 22:15
Bovada🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.48%EV -3.84%E -2.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.52%EV -4.44%E -1.92%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.84%E -2.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 20:35
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.84%E -2.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.84%E -2.34%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-03 20:35
Bet Right🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 20:10
Betsson🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.10%E -2.69%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 20:20
NordicBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.43%E -2.72%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -6.10%E -2.69%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-03 20:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:34
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 19:59
888sport🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 22:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:00
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:00
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 20:10
Betway🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.86%E -2.11%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-03 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.75%E -3.48%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -5.01%E -3.09%K -8.09%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -7.75%E -3.48%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-03 22:20
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.60%E -3.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.96%E -0.828%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -5.60%E -3.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.96%E -0.828%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-03 20:35
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.60%E -3.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -2.79%E -1.19%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -5.60%E -3.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -5.27%E -2.30%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-03 22:35
ReBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.77%E -4.26%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-03 22:41
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.36%E -4.66%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-03 20:15
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-03 20:05
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.93%E -3.08%K -5.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-04 01:09
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.13%EV -7.95%E -5.06%K -13.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.87%EV -9.82%E -4.50%K -8.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-03 22:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -9.12%E -5.88%K -16.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -0.720%E -0.300%K -0.514%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-03 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.75%EV -12.05%E -8.03%K -24.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -15.20%E -7.41%K -14.47%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-03 22:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.91%EV -12.64%E -8.48%K -25.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.09%EV -15.20%E -7.41%K -14.47%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-03 22:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%0.2%2026-10-03 22:10
Polymarket◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-10-03 22:35
Novig◎1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%1.5%2026-10-03 23:30
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 58.50%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.50%3.0%2026-10-04 01:25
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-10-03 22:40