Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Chicago White Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 57.58%1.74fair odd
EV +0.196%
Edge +0.113%
Kelly +0.265%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%57.76%57.59%58.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.661.661.7465.36%60.34%60.24%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago White Sox (Visit)
Prediction 42.42%2.36fair odd
EV +0.951%
Edge +0.399%
Kelly +0.689%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.03%42.24%42.41%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.242.252.3850.00%44.59%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 57.58%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 42.42%. For Chicago White Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.951%.
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV +0.951%E +0.399%K +0.689%G +0.007% | 1.9% | 2026-10-02 07:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -5.56%E -3.39%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -1.17%E -0.502%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -2.11%E -1.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -2.02%E -0.874%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 16:31 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -7.29%E -4.53%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -2.02%E -0.874%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 06:58 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.53%E -0.896%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.44%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-10-03 15:13 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.44%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-02 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -7.29%E -4.53%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.44%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.87%E -4.92%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.44%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.87%E -4.92%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.44%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-03 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -0.956%E -0.556%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -2.87%E -1.25%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.68%E -1.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.29%E -1.44%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -2.68%E -1.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -3.29%E -1.44%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-03 16:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.72%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.28%EV -3.29%E -1.44%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-03 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.29%E -1.44%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.29%E -1.44%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.29%E -1.44%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.29%E -1.44%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -2.11%E -1.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -3.72%E -1.64%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-10-03 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -0.956%E -0.556%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -4.14%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%EV -0.956%E -0.556%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%EV -4.14%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-03 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.14%E -1.83%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-03 11:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.68%EV -0.956%E -0.556%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.32%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-10-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.11%E -1.24%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.68%E -1.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-03 10:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.26%E -1.94%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-03 11:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 11:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-03 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:21 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:21 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-03 15:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-02 15:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.56%E -3.39%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-02 15:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.87%E -4.92%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.56%E -2.03%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -4.99%E -2.23%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-03 15:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.99%E -2.23%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-03 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -3.26%E -1.94%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -5.41%E -2.43%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-03 17:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.41%E -2.43%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 14:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.41%E -2.43%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 14:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.14%E -3.77%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.41%E -2.43%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.14%E -3.77%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.41%E -2.43%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -9.02%E -5.71%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -5.41%E -2.43%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.84%E -2.63%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.41%E -2.66%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.84%E -2.63%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 11:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.68%E -1.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-03 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.26%E -1.94%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.26%E -1.94%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.26%E -1.94%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-03 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 11:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.84%E -2.30%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-03 16:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.99%E -3.02%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-03 17:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 14:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.68%E -3.04%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-03 11:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -7.87%E -4.92%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.53%E -3.46%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-03 16:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.87%E -4.92%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.81%E -4.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-03 17:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -10.17%E -6.52%K -18.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.81%E -4.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-03 17:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV +0.196%E +0.113%K +0.265%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -10.93%E -5.20%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -11.90%E -7.78%K -22.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.34%EV -15.17%E -7.58%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-03 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 17:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.2% | 2026-10-03 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00% | 2.0% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75% | 2.1% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 2.4% | 2026-10-03 17:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00% | 3.3% | 2026-10-03 16:59 |