Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 51.31%1.95fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.34%51.33%52.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.861.9155.56%53.83%53.76%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 48.69%2.05fair odd
EV -0.189%
Edge -0.092%
Kelly -0.180%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.70%48.66%48.67%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.881.951.952.0553.19%51.24%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 51.31%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 48.69%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.054. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.050, with an expected value of -0.189%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -2.14%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.99%E -1.04%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-30 22:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -2.51%E -1.32%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.65%E -0.817%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-31 15:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -2.51%E -1.32%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -2.14%E -1.06%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.53%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.16%E -0.573%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.53%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.16%E -0.573%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.53%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.16%E -0.573%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -3.53%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -1.16%E -0.573%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.53%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.53%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -3.53%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.53%E -1.88%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.03%E -3.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.189%E -0.092%K -0.180%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-31 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-31 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -3.60%E -1.82%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 13:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-31 14:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.54%E -2.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.54%E -2.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.54%E -2.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.54%E -2.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.54%E -2.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.54%E -2.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.05%E -2.16%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-31 15:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -4.56%E -2.45%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -3.11%E -1.56%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-31 15:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.56%E -2.45%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.60%E -1.82%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-31 15:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.57%E -2.33%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 17:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.03%E -3.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.03%E -3.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 17:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.03%E -3.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -6.03%E -3.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.07%E -2.74%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-31 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -5.59%E -3.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -4.08%E -2.07%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.59%E -3.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.57%E -2.33%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.59%E -3.04%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.57%E -2.33%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-31 15:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.62%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-31 14:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.03%E -3.13%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 15:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.10%E -3.33%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.01%E -3.67%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.06%E -2.59%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-31 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.54%E -2.86%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -6.61%E -3.63%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.06%EV -7.98%E -4.22%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.95%EV -7.13%E -3.94%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.05%EV -8.47%E -4.50%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.64%E -4.24%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.49%E -3.94%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-31 17:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61% | 0.8% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-31 16:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.14% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.86% | 1.3% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-31 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 2.6% | 2026-05-31 17:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61% | 2.8% | 2026-05-31 17:39 |