A Escola das Odds

Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles

Início: 2026-04-17 22:11 UTC

Final: Cleveland Guardians 4–6 Baltimore Orioles

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cleveland Guardians (Local)

Previsão 55.68%1.80odd justa
EV -0.888%
Vantagem -0.499%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.78

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.09%55.63%55.70%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.651.721.731.7860.61%58.03%57.80%56.18%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)

Previsão 44.32%2.26odd justa
EV -0.282%
Vantagem -0.126%
Kelly -0.226%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.37%44.30%45.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.142.152.2548.78%46.69%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.888%E -0.499%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-17 09:44
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.44%E -0.816%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 21:20
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.00%E -1.14%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 20:55
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.00%E -1.14%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-17 21:10
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.17%E -0.524%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-17 22:09
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.16%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 10:04
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.16%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.16%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 21:10
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.282%E -0.126%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-17 21:59
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.61%E -0.726%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-17 22:10
MyBookie.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:10
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:10
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:10
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:09
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:10
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:10
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:10
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:10
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 22:10
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.726%E -0.324%K -0.585%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-17 22:10
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 21:20
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 14:24
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.49%E -3.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 10:14
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.49%E -3.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 09:44
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 14:29
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 18:25
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:20
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:10
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:10
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:10
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 21:10
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 19:44
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.16%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-17 21:55
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 22:10
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 22:09
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 21:50
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 12:19
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 21:49
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.83%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 21:57
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 21:20
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 21:55
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 21:55
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 21:55
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 21:54
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 22:10
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 21:50
GTbets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 22:10
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 22:09
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 21:50
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 22:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 22:00
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 22:10
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 22:00
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.46%E -3.84%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 22:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 21:50
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 21:50
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.13%E -4.92%K -12.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 22:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84%0.0%2026-04-17 22:05
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95%0.2%2026-04-17 21:40
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-04-17 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-04-17 21:55
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50%1.2%2026-04-17 22:10
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-17 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-17 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.5%2026-04-17 22:10
Smarkets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%2.1%2026-04-17 22:10
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-04-17 22:05