La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cleveland Guardians v Baltimore Orioles
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Predicción 55.68%1.80momio equitativo
EV -0.888%
Ventaja -0.499%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.09%55.63%55.70%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.731.7860.61%58.03%57.80%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Baltimore Orioles (Visitante)
Predicción 44.32%2.26momio equitativo
EV -0.282%
Ventaja -0.126%
Kelly -0.226%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.37%44.30%45.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.142.152.2548.78%46.69%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -0.888%E -0.499%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 09:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -1.44%E -0.816%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 21:20 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%EV -2.00%E -1.14%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-17 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.00%E -1.14%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.17%E -0.524%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-17 22:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.16%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 10:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.16%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.16%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| Everygame | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.282%E -0.126%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.61%E -0.726%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-17 21:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 21:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.11%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%EV -0.726%E -0.324%K -0.585%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 21:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.49%E -3.07%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 10:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.49%E -3.07%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 09:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 14:29 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 18:25 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 21:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 21:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 21:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.67%E -2.12%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 19:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.16%E -2.41%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 22:09 |
| ReBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 21:50 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-17 12:19 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 21:49 |
| Bovada | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.83%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 21:57 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 21:20 |
| 888sport | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 21:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 21:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 21:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 21:54 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.30%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.70%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 21:50 |
| GTbets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 22:09 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 21:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.34%E -3.14%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.15%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -6.46%E -3.84%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -2.94%E -1.34%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 21:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.01%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 21:50 |
| TAB | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.13%E -4.92%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.50%E -1.14%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 0.0% | 2026-04-17 22:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.05% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.95% | 0.2% | 2026-04-17 21:40 |
| Polymarket | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78% | 1.1% | 2026-04-17 21:55 |
| Novig | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00% | 1.5% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72% | 2.1% | 2026-04-17 22:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-04-17 22:05 |