Language:English
Cleveland Guardians v Athletics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cleveland Guardians (Local)
Prediction 66.27%1.51fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -4.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.10%66.22%66.43%68.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.431.441.4874.63%69.88%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Athletics (Visit)
Prediction 33.73%2.96fair odd
EV +2.88%
Edge +0.945%
Kelly +1.41%
Growth +0.041%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.35%33.78%33.57%35.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.872.853.0540.00%34.88%35.09%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 66.27%; Athletics (Visit): 33.73%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.88%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.88%E +0.945%K +1.41%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.88%E +0.945%K +1.41%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.88%E +0.945%K +1.41%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.88%E +0.945%K +1.41%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.88%E +0.945%K +1.41%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.88%E +0.945%K +1.41%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.88%E +0.945%K +1.41%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.88%E +0.945%K +1.41%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.88%E +0.945%K +1.41%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV +2.88%E +0.945%K +1.41%G +0.041% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.55%E -6.20%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.20%E +0.399%K +0.598%G +0.007% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.21%E -6.72%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +1.20%E +0.399%K +0.598%G +0.007% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.21%E -6.72%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +1.20%E +0.399%K +0.598%G +0.007% | 6.3% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%EV -3.25%E -2.23%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%EV +0.522%E +0.175%K +0.263%G +0.001% | 2.1% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.90%E -4.15%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.490%E -0.166%K -0.251%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 14:48 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -3.25%E -2.23%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -0.828%E -0.282%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.82%EV -3.25%E -2.23%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%EV -0.828%E -0.282%K -0.427%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.92%E -1.30%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -1.50%E -0.514%K -0.782%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.59%EV -3.25%E -2.23%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.41%EV -1.84%E -0.632%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.91%E -2.70%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.91%E -2.70%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.91%E -2.70%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.90%E -4.15%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -11.20%E -8.36%K -32.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -2.18%E -0.751%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 14:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.05%EV -5.90%E -4.15%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.95%EV -2.51%E -0.870%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.85%E -0.990%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.85%E -0.990%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.19%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.19%E -1.11%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.51%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.49%EV -3.53%E -1.23%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -1.92%E -1.30%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-09-18 15:03 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-18 15:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.86%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.05%EV -3.25%E -2.23%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.95%EV -4.20%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -4.20%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -4.20%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.24%E -3.66%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.54%E -1.60%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 14:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.59%E -1.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.91%E -2.70%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 13:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.90%E -4.15%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.90%E -4.15%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.55%E -1.98%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-18 13:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -1.92%E -1.30%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-18 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.59%E -1.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.59%E -1.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.59%E -1.76%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 13:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.24%E -2.63%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-18 13:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.92%E -1.30%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.92%E -1.30%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.25%E -2.23%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 13:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.91%E -2.70%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.57%E -3.18%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.92%E -3.30%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-18 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.91%E -2.70%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.61%E -4.00%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -7.22%E -5.16%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -15.67%E -6.27%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.54% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 32.46% | 0.0% | 2026-09-18 15:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 14:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 15:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-09-18 14:55 |