Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.58
assuming max odds 2.63
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cleveland Guardians (Local): 62.26%; Athletics (Visit): 37.74%. For Athletics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.63, with an expected value of -0.741%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.63%E -1.03%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -2.63%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-19 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%EV -2.25%E -1.44%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%EV -1.87%E -0.721%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-09-19 21:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -1.87%E -0.721%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-19 21:36 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 19:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.88%E -1.84%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -0.741%E -0.282%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-19 21:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -0.741%E -0.282%K -0.455%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-19 21:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -1.50%E -0.573%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-19 21:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.56%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.44%EV -2.25%E -0.869%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 21:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -4.52%E -1.78%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 21:28 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.53%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.50%E -2.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.53%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.12%E -2.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.12%E -0.427%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-19 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.12%E -2.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.87%E -0.721%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%EV -4.12%E -2.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -3.38%E -1.32%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.12%E -2.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 16:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.12%E -2.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.12%E -2.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.12%E -2.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.40%E -2.58%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 19:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.12%E -2.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.40%E -2.58%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.12%E -2.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -6.40%E -2.58%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.12%E -2.68%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.53%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.14%E -1.63%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 22:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.14%E -1.63%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-19 19:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.89%E -1.94%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.74%E -3.10%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.18%E -4.28%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-19 19:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.37%E -3.53%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -9.42%E -3.93%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.99%E -3.97%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.61%E -4.41%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.61%E -4.41%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 21:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.61%E -4.41%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.76%E -1.47%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.61%E -4.41%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 22:03 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.61%E -4.41%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 22:03 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.61%E -4.41%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.61%E -4.41%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.65%E -2.26%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.64%EV -6.61%E -4.41%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.36%EV -9.04%E -3.75%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-19 21:43 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.48%E -5.77%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.53%E -3.08%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -8.48%E -5.77%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -13.20%E -5.74%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-19 21:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 14:31 |
| Novig◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68% | 0.9% | 2026-09-19 22:07 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47% | 1.9% | 2026-09-19 22:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26% | 2.5% | 2026-09-19 22:09 |