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Cincinnati Reds v St. Louis Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 47.80%2.09fair odd
EV -0.583%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.539%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.91%47.72%47.84%49.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.022.0852.63%49.64%49.50%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
St. Louis Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 52.20%1.92fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.707%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.89
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.67%52.28%52.16%54.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.821.831.8958.14%55.03%54.64%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 47.80%; St. Louis Cardinals (Visit): 52.20%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.08, with an expected value of -0.583%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.21%EV -0.583%E -0.280%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.79%EV -2.90%E -1.56%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-17 21:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.583%E -0.280%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.56%E -3.66%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.583%E -0.280%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.56%E -3.66%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.583%E -0.280%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.56%E -3.66%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -0.583%E -0.280%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -6.56%E -3.66%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.06%E -0.512%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.06%E -0.512%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 21:04 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -1.06%E -0.512%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-17 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.54%E -0.747%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.90%E -1.56%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-17 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.54%E -0.747%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.54%E -0.747%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.54%E -0.747%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.54%E -0.747%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.54%E -0.747%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.54%E -0.747%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.54%E -0.747%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.54%E -0.747%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.02%E -0.984%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.86%E -0.988%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -2.02%E -0.984%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -2.38%E -1.27%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.02%E -0.984%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 19:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.02%E -0.984%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.60%E -4.29%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.02%E -0.984%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.02%E -0.984%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.17%E -5.27%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.34%E -0.707%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 22:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.49%E -1.22%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.34%E -0.707%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-17 21:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.97%E -1.46%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -1.86%E -0.988%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-17 22:33 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -3.45%E -1.71%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.93%E -1.95%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-17 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.95%E -2.14%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-17 21:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 22:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.99%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 21:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 13:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.41%E -2.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 22:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 22:23 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.36%E -2.71%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-17 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.84%E -2.96%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.51%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-17 22:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.61%EV -5.84%E -2.96%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.39%EV -10.21%E -5.94%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-17 22:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 21:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.80%E -3.49%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 20:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -7.27%E -3.75%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -3.95%E -2.14%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.75%E -4.02%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-17 22:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -8.23%E -4.29%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -3.95%E -2.14%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-17 22:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.19%E -4.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 22:33 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.19%E -4.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.42%E -1.85%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-17 22:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 14:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 20:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-17 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.73% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.27% | 1.2% | 2026-08-17 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42% | 2.0% | 2026-08-17 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30% | 2.3% | 2026-08-17 22:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87% | 7.1% | 2026-08-17 22:34 |