Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 22:43 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 2–1 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prediction 50.33%1.99fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.43%50.39%51.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.911.9454.64%52.62%52.36%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 49.67%2.01fair odd
EV -0.666%
Edge -0.333%
Kelly -0.666%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.67%49.57%49.61%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.921.912.0054.35%52.13%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 50.33%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 49.67%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -0.666%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -2.35%E -1.21%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -1.66%E -0.838%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 22:30
Everygame🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.26%EV -2.35%E -1.21%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.74%EV -2.65%E -1.35%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-14 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.86%E -1.48%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.66%E -0.838%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 22:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.86%E -1.48%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.66%E -0.838%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 22:20
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.86%E -1.48%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.66%E -0.838%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 22:24
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.86%E -1.48%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -1.66%E -0.838%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-14 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.86%E -1.48%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-14 22:40
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -3.36%E -1.75%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -0.666%E -0.333%K -0.666%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-14 20:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.36%E -1.75%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 22:29
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.75%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:24
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.75%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.75%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%EV -3.65%E -1.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-14 22:25
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 20:35
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:30
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:35
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 03:50
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:20
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 18:44
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 10:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:25
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:30
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:30
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:30
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:30
Bally Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:30
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:30
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:35
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-13 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:25
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 10:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:30
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:25
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.30%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:24
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.87%E -2.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 22:19
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.87%E -2.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 22:24
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.87%E -2.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.87%E -2.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:35
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.24%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.87%E -2.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.24%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 22:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.37%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:40
Dabble (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.37%E -2.86%K -6.11%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.64%E -2.42%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 22:35
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.88%E -3.14%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 13:48
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.88%E -3.14%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.15%E -1.61%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 22:40
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.88%E -3.14%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.14%E -2.69%K -5.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.14%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 22:25
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.88%E -3.14%K -6.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.12%E -3.81%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 22:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.38%E -3.43%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.65%E -1.88%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-14 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -6.38%E -3.43%K -7.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-14 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.63%E -2.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 22:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.89%E -4.31%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.14%E -2.15%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 20:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -7.89%E -4.31%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.86%EV -8.61%E -4.68%K -10.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-14 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00%2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00%0.0%2026-04-14 22:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-14 22:40
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.64%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.36%0.9%2026-04-14 22:40
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.39%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.61%1.3%2026-04-14 22:40
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-04-14 22:40
Matchbook1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.4%2026-04-14 22:40
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-04-14 22:20