Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v San Diego Padres

Início: 2026-08-31 22:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 0–5 San Diego Padres

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

66 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

42%

58%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 42.19%2.37odd justa

EV -0.843%

Vantagem -0.359%

Kelly -0.624%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

40.87%42.26%42.18%44.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

2.102.262.252.3547.62%44.27%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Previsão 57.81%1.73odd justa

EV -0.575%

Vantagem -0.334%

Kelly -0.798%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.72

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

55.82%57.74%57.82%59.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.561.641.651.7264.10%60.86%60.61%58.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 42.19%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 57.81%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.73. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.72, com valor esperado de -0.575%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (66 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local ▼	Visitante	Margem	Atualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.843%E -0.359%K -0.624%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-08-31 22:25
Pinnacle🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.843%E -0.359%K -0.624%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-31 22:35
FanDuel🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -1.26%E -0.541%K -0.944%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%	1.9%	2026-08-31 20:40
GTbets🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.26%E -0.541%K -0.944%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-08-31 21:35
Caesars🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -1.69%E -0.724%K -1.27%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%	1.7%	2026-08-31 20:40
Everygame🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.69%E -0.724%K -1.27%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%	2.1%	2026-08-31 20:48
betPARX🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.69%E -0.724%K -1.27%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-31 22:25
Bally Bet🎯	2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.69%E -0.724%K -1.27%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-31 21:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.11%E -0.909%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-08-31 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.11%E -0.909%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-08-31 21:35
Unibet🎯	2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.11%E -0.909%K -1.60%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.78%E -3.54%K -9.17%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-08-31 22:40
BetAnything🎯	2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.53%E -1.10%K -1.93%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%	2.8%	2026-08-31 22:40
BetUS🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-08-31 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-31 07:35
William Hill🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-31 22:00
Fliff🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-31 17:19
TABtouch🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-31 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-31 20:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-31 22:40
Fanatics🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.09%E -5.09%K -13.71%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-31 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.04%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-08-31 22:35
Bovada🎯	2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.62%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-31 22:39
1xBet🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.575%E -0.334%K -0.798%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-08-31 19:05
Bet Right🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-31 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-31 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-31 22:40
Casumo🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-31 22:40
ATG (SE)🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-31 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯	2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-31 22:40
DraftKings🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.22%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-31 22:40
SportsBet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.22%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-31 20:40
Coolbet🎯	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.22%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-31 22:00
TAB🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-31 21:15
betfred_uk🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-31 22:25
888sport🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 20:40
PlayUp🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 22:00
Coral🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 22:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 22:25
BetMGM🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 22:25
Betr (AU)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-31 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.78%E -3.54%K -9.17%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-31 22:30
theScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-31 22:40
BoyleSports🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-31 22:30
Paddy Power🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-31 20:40
Grosvenor🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-31 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.67%E -5.49%K -14.94%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-08-31 22:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.67%E -5.49%K -14.94%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-08-31 22:40
BetRivers🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -5.91%E -2.65%K -4.80%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-31 22:40
Betsson🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.33%E -2.85%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.04%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-31 21:15
NordicBet🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.33%E -2.85%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.04%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-31 21:15
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.33%E -2.85%K -5.19%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-31 22:40
Marathon Bet🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.75%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-08-31 19:04
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-31 21:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-31 22:25
Neds🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-31 22:25
LeoVegas🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-31 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.82%E -6.30%K -17.54%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-08-31 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.59%E -3.47%K -6.38%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-31 22:34
Betway🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-31 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-31 22:40
Bet Victor🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-31 22:29
betano_uk🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-31 22:28
ReBet🎯	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -10.97%E -5.20%K -9.88%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-31 22:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.36%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-08-31 22:40

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%	0.5%	2026-08-31 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%	0.5%	2026-08-31 22:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%	0.5%	2026-08-31 22:40
Novig◎	2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22%	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78%	0.7%	2026-08-31 22:35
ProphetX◎	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%	1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%	0.8%	2026-08-31 22:40
Polymarket◎	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	1.2%	2026-08-31 21:25
Kalshi◎	2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%	1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%	1.2%	2026-08-31 22:25
Matchbook◎	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%	1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%	2.3%	2026-08-31 22:40
Smarkets◎	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65%	1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35%	2.6%	2026-08-31 22:40
BetOpenly◎	2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%	2.6%	2026-08-31 22:25