Idioma:Español
Cincinnati Reds v San Diego Padres
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Predicción 42.19%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.843%
Ventaja -0.359%
Kelly -0.624%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.87%42.26%42.18%44.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.3547.62%44.27%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
San Diego Padres (Visitante)
Predicción 57.81%1.73momio equitativo
EV -0.575%
Ventaja -0.334%
Kelly -0.798%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.82%57.74%57.82%59.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.641.651.7264.10%60.86%60.61%58.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 42.19%; San Diego Padres (Visitante): 57.81%. Para San Diego Padres (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.73. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.72, con un valor esperado de -0.575%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.843%E -0.359%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -0.843%E -0.359%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%EV -1.26%E -0.541%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -1.26%E -0.541%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV -1.69%E -0.724%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.69%E -0.724%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 20:48 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.69%E -0.724%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -1.69%E -0.724%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-31 21:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.11%E -0.909%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -2.11%E -0.909%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV -2.11%E -0.909%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -5.78%E -3.54%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.53%E -1.10%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 21:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 07:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 17:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 20:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.09%E -5.09%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.03%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.97%EV -4.04%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.88%EV -3.37%E -1.47%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.12%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%EV -0.575%E -0.334%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 19:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -3.80%E -1.67%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.22%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.22%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -4.22%E -1.86%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.20%E -3.17%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-31 21:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.78%E -3.54%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 22:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.67%E -5.49%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.67%E -5.49%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -5.91%E -2.65%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.33%E -2.85%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.04%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -6.33%E -2.85%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.04%E -2.44%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 21:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -6.33%E -2.85%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -6.75%E -3.05%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-31 19:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.36%E -3.92%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.17%E -3.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.51%EV -9.82%E -6.30%K -17.54%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.37%EV -7.59%E -3.47%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.63%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 22:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -2.31%E -1.37%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -2.89%E -1.72%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-31 22:28 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.18%EV -10.97%E -5.20%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -3.46%E -2.07%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54% | 0.5% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.22% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.78% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 21:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.65% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.35% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64% | 2.6% | 2026-08-31 22:25 |