Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-07-30 23:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 3–2 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 47.63%2.10odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.675%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.05%47.78%47.64%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.002.002.0752.63%49.99%50.00%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 52.37%1.91odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.544%
Kelly -1.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%52.22%52.36%53.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.831.831.8957.14%54.79%54.64%52.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 47.63%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 52.37%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.91. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.89, com valor esperado de -1.03%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.40%E -0.675%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 23:05
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 47.19%EV -1.40%E -0.675%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.81%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-30 23:09
Everygame🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -1.87%E -0.910%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -2.60%E -1.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.87%E -0.910%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.87%E -0.910%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-30 23:05
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -1.87%E -0.910%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 22:45
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -1.55%E -0.825%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-30 23:05
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-30 22:25
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-30 23:05
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:08
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 20:50
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 23:10
Fliff🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 22:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -2.35%E -1.15%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -8.36%E -4.78%K -11.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 23:10
1xBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%EV -2.83%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%EV -1.03%E -0.544%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-30 23:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -2.83%E -1.39%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 23:10
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%EV -3.30%E -1.63%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%EV -6.26%E -3.50%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:44
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.08%E -1.11%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-30 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -2.08%E -1.11%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-30 23:04
Bet Right🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.69%E -2.58%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 23:05
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.69%E -2.58%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 23:09
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.26%E -3.50%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:05
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -6.26%E -3.50%K -7.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 23:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 21:54
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 22:40
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 22:39
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 22:05
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.69%E -2.58%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 22:49
Dabble (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.69%E -2.58%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 23:09
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.69%E -2.58%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.22%E -2.88%K -6.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 23:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 18:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:10
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.73%E -2.37%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.49%EV -5.21%E -2.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.51%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 23:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.68%E -2.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:40
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.68%E -2.87%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -1.55%E -0.825%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 23:10
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:05
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:05
Bally Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:04
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.16%E -3.13%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.64%E -3.39%K -6.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.17%E -2.28%K -5.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-30 23:04
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.08%E -1.11%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 17:04
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.74%E -3.19%K -7.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 22:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -7.84%E -4.45%K -10.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-30 23:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.59%E -3.91%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.60%E -1.40%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 23:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -8.54%E -4.45%K -9.29%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -3.65%E -1.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 23:09
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.08%E -1.11%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-30 23:10
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -7.31%E -4.13%K -9.50%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-30 23:04
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 22:58
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.12%E -1.69%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-30 22:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-07-30 22:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-07-30 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87%1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13%0.4%2026-07-30 22:45
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-07-30 23:05
BetOpenly◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-07-30 23:09
Polymarket◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-30 02:45
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-30 17:25
ProphetX◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-30 23:10
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-07-30 23:10
Smarkets◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-07-30 22:45