Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-07-30 23:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 48.95%2.04momio equitativo
EV -1.13%
Ventaja -0.558%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.89%48.94%48.95%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.871.951.952.0253.48%51.41%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 51.05%1.96momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.06%51.05%52.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.861.861.9255.56%53.65%53.76%52.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -1.13%E -0.558%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-30 01:55
1xBet2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%EV -1.62%E -0.805%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-30 01:54
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 01:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 01:55
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.98%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 00:00
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.98%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 00:00
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.98%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 00:05
GTbets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.60%E -1.30%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -1.98%E -1.03%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 00:10
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.09%E -1.56%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 01:49
Dabble (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.09%E -1.56%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -7.08%E -3.89%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 02:49
MyBookie.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.58%E -1.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-30 00:33
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.58%E -1.81%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 01:50
FanDuel1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.06%E -2.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.51%E -1.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 19:00
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.06%E -2.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.06%E -2.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 00:20
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.06%E -2.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 00:20
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.06%E -2.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.06%E -2.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 01:50
Neds1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.06%E -2.07%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 01:49
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 22:19
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 00:25
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 21:10
Caesars1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 22:04
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 22:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 23:15
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 02:30
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:20
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 01:50
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:20
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:20
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:20
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:20
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:25
Fliff1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.55%E -2.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-29 21:10
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:30
Bovada1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 19:10
Betr (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.53%E -2.42%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 00:30
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 00:30
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.04%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 00:25
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 01:55
BetAnything1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 02:00
Betclic (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 00:30
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.53%E -2.87%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 02:09
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.02%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:00
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.02%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 01:54
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.02%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.02%E -2.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 01:55
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.49%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 00:54
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 00:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 19:05
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 19:05
betano_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 00:59
ReBet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 00:30
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.51%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-30 02:19
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.00%E -3.69%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.00%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.98%E -4.24%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 00:25
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -7.98%E -4.24%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-30 00:20
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.47%E -4.53%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-30 00:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-07-30 02:50
Polymarket2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-07-30 02:45
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-07-29 21:05
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-07-30 02:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%3.0%2026-07-29 23:35
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%8.7%2026-07-30 03:00