Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

Início: 2026-07-31 22:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 8–7 Pittsburgh Pirates

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 46.43%2.15odd justa
EV -0.185%
Vantagem -0.086%
Kelly -0.161%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.73%46.35%46.48%48.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.48%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Previsão 53.57%1.87odd justa
EV -0.888%
Vantagem -0.480%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.00%53.65%53.52%55.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.701.781.781.8558.82%56.17%56.18%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 46.43%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 53.57%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.154. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.150, com valor esperado de -0.185%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.185%E -0.086%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -0.185%E -0.086%K -0.161%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 16:59
GTbets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.11%E -0.523%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -3.03%E -1.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-31 22:09
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -1.58%E -0.744%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -2.49%E -1.37%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-31 22:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.58%E -0.744%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.03%E -1.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 22:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.58%E -0.744%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.03%E -1.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 22:09
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -1.58%E -0.744%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -3.03%E -1.67%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-31 22:09
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.58%E -0.744%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.10%E -2.29%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-31 20:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.58%E -0.744%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.10%E -2.29%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-31 20:24
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -1.58%E -0.744%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -4.10%E -2.29%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-31 22:05
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.45%EV -2.04%E -0.968%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.55%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-31 21:54
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%EV -0.888%E -0.480%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-31 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 20:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 20:25
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 16:59
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 19:34
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 21:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.51%E -1.19%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.32%E -4.23%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:19
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -2.97%E -1.42%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.888%E -0.480%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-31 21:19
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 20:24
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 20:24
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 20:25
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 20:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.43%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 20:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -3.90%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.49%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 21:10
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.90%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-31 21:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.90%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.90%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:24
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -3.90%E -1.88%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 20:24
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 21:09
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:04
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:03
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 21:09
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:05
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.10%E -2.29%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 21:50
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 19:55
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 21:25
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 19:55
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 21:54
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 21:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 13:34
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 19:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 19:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 19:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 22:04
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 22:09
SportsBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.29%E -2.59%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 19:50
MyBookie.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -1.96%E -1.07%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 22:08
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 22:04
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.76%E -2.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:04
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-31 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.22%E -3.08%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.10%E -2.29%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 21:19
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 21:09
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.64%E -2.61%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 21:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.17%E -2.92%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 21:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.71%E -3.24%K -7.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 21:10
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 21:58
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.25%E -3.57%K -8.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.15%E -3.57%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.92%E -5.25%K -12.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-31 20:24
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -8.08%E -4.08%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -6.78%E -3.90%K -9.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 21:43
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.47%E -4.86%K -9.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.57%E -1.98%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 19:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-07-31 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-07-31 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-07-31 22:10
ProphetX◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-07-31 22:10
Polymarket◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-31 13:35
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-07-31 22:00
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-07-31 22:10
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%1.2%2026-07-31 22:10
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-07-31 22:05
BetOpenly◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.33%2.7%2026-07-31 22:09