Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-07-31 22:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 46.63%2.14momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.763%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.74%46.58%46.70%47.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.952.052.052.1151.28%48.87%48.78%47.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 53.37%1.87momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%53.42%53.30%54.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.711.781.781.8358.48%56.11%56.18%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.61%E -0.763%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.87%E -1.58%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-31 00:20
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.08%E -0.988%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 18:59
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -2.08%E -0.988%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-30 21:37
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.08%E -0.988%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 20:55
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.54%E -1.22%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 18:59
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.54%E -1.22%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 18:59
BetUS2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.54%E -1.22%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.33%E -1.28%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-30 23:15
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.01%E -1.45%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.47%E -2.50%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-30 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.01%E -1.45%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.47%E -2.50%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 01:00
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.01%E -1.45%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.47%E -2.50%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 01:00
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.01%E -1.45%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.47%E -2.50%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 00:59
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -3.01%E -1.45%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -4.47%E -2.50%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 01:00
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -3.47%E -1.68%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-30 21:14
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.94%E -1.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 23:50
MyBookie.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -3.40%E -1.88%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 00:59
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 19:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 19:05
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 19:25
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 22:14
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 00:10
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 01:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-30 19:04
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 19:04
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 22:49
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 23:50
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 23:50
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 23:50
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 18:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.07%E -3.45%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 19:05
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 18:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 19:05
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 19:05
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 19:05
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.41%E -2.15%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 22:30
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 19:44
DraftKings2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.47%E -2.50%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 19:45
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.87%E -2.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 21:30
Betsson2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.34%E -2.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:45
NordicBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -5.34%E -2.63%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 19:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.81%E -2.87%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 19:05
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.81%E -2.87%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 19:05
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.81%E -2.87%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 23:55
Betclic (FR)2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.27%E -3.12%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 19:44
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 19:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.00%E -2.81%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 20:05
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 22:15
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.54%E -3.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-30 22:03
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 19:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.74%E -3.37%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.60%E -3.77%K -8.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-30 19:00
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -8.14%E -4.13%K -8.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -8.74%E -5.11%K -12.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-31 00:59
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.03%EV -8.60%E -4.39%K -8.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.97%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-30 22:20
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.07%E -4.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.67%E -4.43%K -10.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-30 22:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-07-31 01:35
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.98%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%1.2%2026-07-31 01:15
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-07-31 01:00
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%1.9%2026-07-31 01:45
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-07-31 00:20
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%9.1%2026-07-31 01:35