A Escola das Odds

Cincinnati Reds v New York Mets

Início: 2026-06-16 23:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 5–3 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Previsão 48.22%2.07odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.565%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.34%48.21%48.30%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.30%50.00%48.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 51.78%1.93odd justa
EV -0.057%
Vantagem -0.029%
Kelly -0.061%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%51.79%51.70%53.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.751.831.831.9357.14%54.52%54.50%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 23:09
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 23:09
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.34%E -4.71%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:40
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.12%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 23:09
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.12%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 23:10
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.12%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.60%E -1.29%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.82%E -4.40%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 22:50
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -0.574%E -0.299%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 22:50
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 21:50
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 22:40
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 23:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 23:10
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 20:48
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 18:20
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.27%E -3.46%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.27%E -3.46%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 21:50
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 23:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 19:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 22:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.31%E -4.08%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.31%E -4.08%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 21:50
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.31%E -4.08%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 21:50
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.31%E -4.08%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 21:50
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.34%E -4.71%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 21:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.34%E -4.71%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 15:40
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 23:06
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -4.05%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.057%E -0.029%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 23:00
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.05%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.574%E -0.299%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.05%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.68%E -1.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 23:08
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.68%E -1.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:40
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 23:10
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 23:10
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 23:00
Betsson1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 23:00
NordicBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 23:00
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 23:00
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.50%E -2.80%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.68%E -1.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 23:09
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.50%E -2.80%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.61%E -0.847%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 23:00
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:00
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 23:09
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 23:10
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 23:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 23:07
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.42%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.61%E -0.847%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-06-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-06-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-06-16 23:10
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-16 23:09
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-16 15:40
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-06-16 23:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-06-16 23:10
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-06-16 23:10
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-06-16 23:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%6.1%2026-06-16 23:10