L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v New York Mets

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-16 23:11 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 5–3 New York Mets

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 48.22%2.07cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.565%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.34%48.21%48.30%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.901.992.002.0552.63%50.30%50.00%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Mets (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.78%1.93cote équitable
EV -0.057%
Avantage -0.029%
Kelly -0.061%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.79%51.70%53.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.831.831.9357.14%54.52%54.50%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 23:09
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 23:09
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -1.16%E -0.565%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.34%E -4.71%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:40
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.12%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 23:09
BetOnline.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.12%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 23:10
LowVig.ag2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -2.12%E -1.05%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-16 23:10
Dabble (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -2.60%E -1.29%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -7.82%E -4.40%K -10.03%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 22:50
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%EV -0.574%E -0.299%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 22:50
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-16 21:50
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 22:40
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-16 23:10
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-16 22:40
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 23:10
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 20:48
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 18:20
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.27%E -3.46%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -6.27%E -3.46%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-16 21:50
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 19:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 23:10
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 19:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-15 22:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-16 21:50
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.31%E -4.08%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.31%E -4.08%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 21:50
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.31%E -4.08%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 21:50
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.31%E -4.08%K -9.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 21:50
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.34%E -4.71%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 21:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.34%E -4.71%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-16 15:40
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -3.57%E -1.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.38%E -5.36%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-16 23:06
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -4.05%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -0.057%E -0.029%K -0.061%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-16 23:00
BetUS1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -4.05%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -0.574%E -0.299%K -0.624%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-16 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -4.05%E -2.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -3.68%E -1.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 23:08
FanDuel1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.68%E -1.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-16 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:40
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-16 22:40
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.53%E -2.29%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-16 23:09
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -2.65%E -1.41%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-16 23:10
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 23:10
SportsBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 23:00
Betsson1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 23:00
NordicBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 23:00
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -5.01%E -2.55%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -4.72%E -2.56%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 23:00
Bovada1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.50%E -2.80%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -3.68%E -1.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-16 23:09
Coolbet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.50%E -2.80%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-16 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -1.61%E -0.847%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-16 23:00
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:00
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.20%E -2.27%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 23:00
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 23:09
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.98%E -3.07%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-16 23:10
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.16%E -1.69%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-16 23:10
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.23%E -2.86%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-16 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.91%E -4.14%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.79%E -3.77%K -8.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-16 23:07
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -8.39%E -4.42%K -9.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -1.61%E -0.847%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-16 22:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-06-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-06-16 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%0.8%2026-06-16 23:10
BetOpenly2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-06-16 23:09
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%1.0%2026-06-16 15:40
Novig2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-06-16 23:10
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%1.9%2026-06-16 23:10
Smarkets2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.4%2026-06-16 23:10
ProphetX2.04I 49.02%NM 47.69%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.31%2.8%2026-06-16 23:10
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%6.1%2026-06-16 23:10