L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Milwaukee Brewers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-24 23:11 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 5–6 Milwaukee Brewers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 45.63%2.19cote équitable
EV +0.395%
Avantage +0.179%
Kelly +0.329%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.72%45.68%45.71%47.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.122.102.2052.08%47.27%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milwaukee Brewers (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.37%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.510%
Avantage -0.279%
Kelly -0.615%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.32%54.29%56.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.741.741.8359.88%57.35%57.47%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.395%E +0.179%K +0.329%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-24 22:00
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.395%E +0.179%K +0.329%G +0.001%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 19:09
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.518%E -0.238%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 22:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.518%E -0.238%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:10
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:20
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:20
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:10
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:20
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:10
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:20
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.43%E -0.662%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.40%E -3.11%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.43%E -0.662%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:10
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.43%E -0.662%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:20
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.43%E -0.662%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:10
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.43%E -0.662%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:10
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 18:59
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:40
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.68%E -1.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 23:09
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 20:19
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 20:50
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.60%E -0.883%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-24 22:50
BetAnything2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-24 22:50
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 18:40
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.80%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.60%E -0.883%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-24 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.80%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.60%E -0.883%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-24 22:50
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.26%E -1.54%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.05%E -0.579%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:50
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.26%E -1.54%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 21:18
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -3.26%E -1.54%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 22:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 14:50
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 20:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 14:50
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 19:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 14:48
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 20:10
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 22:59
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 23:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 22:59
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 23:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.40%E -3.11%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 22:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:10
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 20:10
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 20:10
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 19:00
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.54%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 20:10
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.54%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 20:08
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.40%E -3.11%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 23:10
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.40%E -3.11%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 23:10
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.510%E -0.279%K -0.615%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 23:10
Betclic (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 22:48
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 23:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -12.38%E -6.45%K -13.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-24 23:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-06-24 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-06-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-06-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-06-24 23:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-24 23:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-24 22:40
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-06-24 23:10
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-06-24 23:10
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.1%2026-06-24 23:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-06-24 23:00