La escuela de los momios

Cincinnati Reds v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-06-24 23:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 5–6 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 45.63%2.19momio equitativo
EV +0.395%
Ventaja +0.179%
Kelly +0.329%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%45.68%45.71%47.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.922.122.102.2052.08%47.27%47.62%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 54.37%1.84momio equitativo
EV -0.510%
Ventaja -0.279%
Kelly -0.615%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.32%54.29%56.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.741.741.8359.88%57.35%57.47%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV +0.395%E +0.179%K +0.329%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-24 22:00
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV +0.395%E +0.179%K +0.329%G +0.001%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 19:09
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.518%E -0.238%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 22:00
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -0.518%E -0.238%K -0.439%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 22:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:10
Unibet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:20
LeoVegas2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:20
Casumo2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:10
betPARX2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:20
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:10
Bally Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -0.974%E -0.449%K -0.833%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 22:20
FanDuel2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -1.43%E -0.662%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -5.40%E -3.11%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-24 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.43%E -0.662%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:10
TABtouch2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.43%E -0.662%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:20
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.43%E -0.662%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:10
BetRivers2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.43%E -0.662%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 22:10
1xBet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 18:59
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:40
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.68%E -1.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-24 23:09
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 20:19
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 20:50
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.60%E -0.883%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-24 22:50
BetAnything2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.68%E -1.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-24 22:50
SportsBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 18:40
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.80%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.60%E -0.883%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-24 22:50
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.80%E -1.31%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.60%E -0.883%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-24 22:50
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -3.26%E -1.54%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.05%E -0.579%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-24 22:50
MyBookie.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.26%E -1.54%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-24 21:18
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -3.26%E -1.54%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -9.21%E -5.51%K -13.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-24 22:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 14:50
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 20:09
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 14:50
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 19:10
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-24 14:48
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 20:10
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 22:59
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 23:00
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 22:59
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-24 23:10
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.40%E -3.11%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 23:00
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 22:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:10
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:10
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:10
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-24 18:10
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:00
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-24 20:10
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 20:10
Marathon Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.08%E -2.44%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-24 19:00
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.54%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 20:10
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.54%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 20:08
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.40%E -3.11%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 23:10
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.40%E -3.11%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 23:10
Unibet (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.29%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.71%EV -0.510%E -0.279%K -0.615%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-24 23:10
Betclic (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-24 22:48
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 23:10
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-24 23:09
Winamax (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -12.38%E -6.45%K -13.46%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-24 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-06-24 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-06-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%0.8%2026-06-24 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-06-24 23:10
Polymarket2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-24 23:10
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-24 22:40
ProphetX2.14I 46.73%NM 46.10%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.90%1.4%2026-06-24 23:10
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 45.96%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.04%1.7%2026-06-24 23:10
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%2.1%2026-06-24 23:10
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.3%2026-06-24 23:00