Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.15
assuming max odds 1.49
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 33.71%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visit): 66.29%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.19%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV +6.19%E +1.96%K +2.88%G +0.178% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -8.52%E -6.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.19%E +1.96%K +2.88%G +0.178% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -9.84%E -7.24%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.19%E +1.96%K +2.88%G +0.178% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -9.84%E -7.24%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.19%E +1.96%K +2.88%G +0.178% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -9.84%E -7.24%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.19%E +1.96%K +2.88%G +0.178% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -9.84%E -7.24%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +6.19%E +1.96%K +2.88%G +0.178% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -9.84%E -7.24%K -27.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +4.50%E +1.45%K +2.14%G +0.096% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -8.52%E -6.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +4.50%E +1.45%K +2.14%G +0.096% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -8.52%E -6.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +4.50%E +1.45%K +2.14%G +0.096% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -8.52%E -6.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +4.50%E +1.45%K +2.14%G +0.096% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -8.52%E -6.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +4.50%E +1.45%K +2.14%G +0.096% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -8.52%E -6.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV +4.50%E +1.45%K +2.14%G +0.096% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -10.51%E -7.78%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV +2.81%E +0.923%K +1.37%G +0.039% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -12.50%E -9.47%K -39.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.13%E +0.376%K +0.564%G +0.006% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.19%E -5.14%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV +1.13%E +0.376%K +0.564%G +0.006% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -9.18%E -6.70%K -24.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73%EV +0.454%E +0.152%K +0.230%G +0.001% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV +0.117%E +0.040%K +0.060%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.557%E -0.189%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.20%E -3.64%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.557%E -0.189%K -0.286%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.87%E -4.13%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 22:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV -0.894%E -0.304%K -0.461%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.49%EV -1.57%E -0.537%K -0.817%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.51%EV -2.55%E -1.74%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.24%E -0.773%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-16 22:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.24%E -0.773%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.19%E -5.14%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-16 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.10%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.90%EV -1.23%E -0.824%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.49%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.51%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.25%E -1.13%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.59%E -1.26%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-16 22:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 08:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 22:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-16 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.20%E -3.64%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 22:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.20%E -3.64%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-16 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.19%E -5.14%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.19%E -5.14%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.19%E -5.14%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.26%E -1.50%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.60%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.60%E -1.63%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.20%E -3.64%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.55%E -1.74%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.55%E -1.74%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 20:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-16 22:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-16 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.20%E -3.64%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-16 21:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.19%E -5.14%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 20:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.19%E -5.14%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 21:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.04%EV -5.95%E -2.13%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.96%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-16 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.29%E -2.26%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-16 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 22:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-16 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.89%E -1.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.89%E -1.28%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.88%E -2.68%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -4.54%E -3.15%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -5.87%E -4.13%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.33%EV -8.52%E -6.17%K -22.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.82% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.18% | 0.6% | 2026-09-16 22:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.91% | 1.1% | 2026-09-16 22:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 1.8% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.27% | 2.5% | 2026-09-16 22:40 |