默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Dodgers

开赛时间： 2026-09-15 22:41 UTC

最终结果： Cincinnati Reds 0–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

32%

68%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Cincinnati Reds (主队)

预测 31.87%3.14公平赔率

EV +1.98%

优势 +0.619%

Kelly +0.900%

增长率 +0.018%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布

29.82%31.82%31.87%33.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.752.972.953.2036.36%33.69%33.90%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Los Angeles Dodgers (客队)

预测 68.13%1.47公平赔率

EV -1.89%

优势 -1.31%

Kelly -4.30%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.44

博彩公司预测分布

66.43%68.18%68.13%70.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.341.401.401.4474.63%71.26%71.43%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Cincinnati Reds (主队)：31.87%；Los Angeles Dodgers (客队)：68.13%。对于“Cincinnati Reds (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.14。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.20，对应+1.98%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Fliff🎯	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.98%E +0.619%K +0.900%G +0.018%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯	3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV +0.069%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-15 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV +0.069%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-15 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.21%E -0.389%K -0.574%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.92%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-15 22:25
Pinnacle🎯	3.09I 32.36%NM 31.64%EV -1.52%E -0.493%K -0.730%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 68.36%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%	2.3%	2026-09-15 22:20
BetUS🎯	3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV -2.48%E -0.811%K -1.20%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 68.30%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-15 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯	3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -2.48%E -0.811%K -1.20%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-09-15 22:20
1xBet🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -1.89%E -1.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-15 21:40
GTbets🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-15 22:35
BetAnything🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.94%E -2.79%K -9.60%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 21:40
Caesars🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 17:44
ReBet🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 22:20
Bovada🎯	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-15 20:45
DraftKings🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.76%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 21:45
SportsBet🎯	3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -3.76%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.58%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 21:25
theScore Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-15 21:35
TAB🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-09-15 21:30
Fanatics🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.94%E -2.79%K -9.60%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-15 18:05
FanDuel🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.94%E -2.79%K -9.60%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-15 21:25
betfred_uk🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 22:35
BetMGM🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 22:35
Coral🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 15:10
Betway🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 21:40
LeoVegas🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 21:25
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.58%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 22:20
Paddy Power🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-15 21:25
BoyleSports🎯	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-15 21:40
Bet Right🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.94%E -2.79%K -9.60%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 10:30
Betr (AU)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 10:30
888sport🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 21:40
Betsson🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 21:35
NordicBet🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 21:44
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-15 22:20
Dabble (AU)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-15 20:35
Coolbet🎯	2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.62%E -2.26%K -3.43%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.94%E -2.79%K -9.60%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-15 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 19:35
BetRivers🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 19:35
Casumo🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 19:35
Unibet🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 19:35
betPARX🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 19:35
Bally Bet🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-15 19:35
PlayUp🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-15 07:30
TABtouch🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-09-15 21:35
William Hill🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-15 06:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-15 22:19
Bet Victor🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-15 22:30
betano_uk🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-15 22:29
Neds🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.89%E -1.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.89%E -1.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-15 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-15 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-15 19:35
Grosvenor🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-09-15 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -12.36%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 67.24%EV -8.70%E -6.50%K -25.60%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-09-15 22:25

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%	1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%	0.2%	2026-09-15 22:35
Novig◎	3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84%	1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16%	0.4%	2026-09-15 21:45
Matchbook◎	3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%	0.7%	2026-09-15 22:25
ProphetX◎	3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%	0.7%	2026-09-15 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%	0.7%	2026-09-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%	0.7%	2026-09-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%	1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%	0.7%	2026-09-15 22:20
Kalshi◎	3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%	1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%	1.0%	2026-09-15 05:05
Polymarket◎	3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%	1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%	1.0%	2026-09-15 04:55
Smarkets◎	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%	1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%	3.2%	2026-09-15 22:35

Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Dodgers

胜负盘

Cincinnati Reds (主队)

Los Angeles Dodgers (客队)

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

博彩交易所 ? (10)

博彩交易所 (10)