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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Dodgers

Inicio: 2026-09-15 22:41 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 0–4 Los Angeles Dodgers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 31.87%3.14momio equitativo
EV +1.98%
Ventaja +0.619%
Kelly +0.900%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%31.82%31.87%33.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.972.953.2036.36%33.69%33.90%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 68.13%1.47momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -4.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.43%68.18%68.13%70.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.341.401.401.4474.63%71.26%71.43%69.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 31.87%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 68.13%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.14. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.98%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Fliff🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +1.98%E +0.619%K +0.900%G +0.018%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV +0.069%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 22:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 31.14%EV +0.069%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.86%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 22:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.21%E -0.389%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.02%E -5.94%K -22.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-15 22:25
Pinnacle🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.64%EV -1.52%E -0.493%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.36%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-15 22:20
BetUS🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV -2.48%E -0.811%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.30%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-15 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.39%EV -2.48%E -0.811%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.61%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-15 22:20
1xBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%EV -1.89%E -1.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.2%2026-09-15 21:40
GTbets🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-15 22:35
BetAnything🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.94%E -2.79%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-15 22:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 21:40
Caesars🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 17:44
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 22:20
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.80%E -0.918%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-15 20:45
DraftKings🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -3.76%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 21:45
SportsBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.52%EV -3.76%E -1.24%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.48%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 21:25
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 21:35
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-15 21:30
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.94%E -2.79%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 18:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.94%E -2.79%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-15 21:25
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 21:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:35
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:35
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 15:10
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 21:40
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 21:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.30%E -3.81%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 22:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 21:25
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-15 21:40
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.94%E -2.79%K -9.60%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-15 10:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 10:30
888sport🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 21:40
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 21:35
NordicBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-15 21:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 22:20
Dabble (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.99%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.98%E -4.33%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-15 20:35
Coolbet🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -6.62%E -2.26%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.94%E -2.79%K -9.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-15 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 19:35
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 19:35
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 19:35
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 19:35
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 19:35
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.57%E -1.80%K -5.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-15 19:35
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 07:30
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.25%E -2.29%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-15 21:35
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 06:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 22:19
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 22:30
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.58%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-15 22:29
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.89%E -1.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.89%E -1.31%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-15 22:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.62%E -3.30%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 19:35
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.77%E -3.85%K -5.98%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.34%E -5.40%K -20.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-15 19:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -12.36%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.24%EV -8.70%E -6.50%K -25.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-15 22:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%0.2%2026-09-15 22:35
Novig◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.84%1.44I 69.44%NM 69.16%0.4%2026-09-15 21:45
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-15 22:25
ProphetX◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-15 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-15 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%0.7%2026-09-15 22:20
Kalshi◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-09-15 05:05
Polymarket◎3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-09-15 04:55
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%3.2%2026-09-15 22:35