Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds v Los Angeles Dodgers

2026-09-15 22:40 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

34%

66%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 33.67%2.97momio equitativo

EV -0.003%

Ventaja -0.001%

Kelly -0.002%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

32.49%33.71%33.57%35.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.502.812.802.9740.00%35.59%35.71%33.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante)

Predicción 66.33%1.51momio equitativo

EV -1.83%

Ventaja -1.24%

Kelly -3.81%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

64.43%66.29%66.43%67.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.381.441.441.4872.46%69.44%69.44%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 33.67%; Los Angeles Dodgers (Visitante): 66.33%. Para Cincinnati Reds (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.9701. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.9700, con un valor esperado de -0.003%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Pinnacle🎯	2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV -0.003%E -0.001%K -0.002%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -3.82%E -2.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%	2.6%	2026-09-15 01:00
Fliff🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.677%E -0.229%K -0.347%G +0.000%	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.81%E -4.09%K -13.83%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-15 02:55
LowVig.ag🎯	2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -1.35%E -0.461%K -0.700%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -2.49%E -1.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-15 00:30
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%EV -1.35%E -0.461%K -0.700%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%EV -2.49%E -1.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-09-15 00:30
1xBet🎯	2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%EV -1.69%E -0.578%K -0.879%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%EV -1.83%E -1.24%K -3.81%G +0.000%	1.8%	2026-09-15 01:05
GTbets🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.64%EV -2.36%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 66.36%EV -2.49%E -1.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%	2.5%	2026-09-15 00:30
TAB🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -2.36%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -3.82%E -2.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-15 01:00
theScore Bet🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.36%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-09-15 01:45
Bovada🎯	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.36%E -0.814%K -1.24%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-09-14 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.37%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 23:10
Coral🎯	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -3.37%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-09-14 23:10
DraftKings🎯	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -3.37%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-09-15 01:05
BetUS🎯	2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%EV -3.71%E -1.30%K -1.99%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 66.05%EV -2.49%E -1.70%K -5.30%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-09-15 00:29
Fanatics🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 20:44
Caesars🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 19:05
Bet Right🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 20:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 18:55
BetMGM🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 23:10
Betway🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-09-14 22:45
888sport🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.14%E -5.10%K -17.84%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-14 20:20
888sport (SE)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.14%E -5.10%K -17.84%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-14 20:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.14%E -5.10%K -17.84%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-14 20:20
FanDuel🎯	2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV -4.38%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -3.82%E -2.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-14 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯	2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -4.72%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.43%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-09-15 01:00
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -5.05%E -1.79%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -3.16%E -2.16%K -6.86%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-09-14 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.82%E -2.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 18:20
PlayUp🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.82%E -2.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.82%E -2.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-14 20:45
BetAnything🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.82%E -2.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 01:55
LeoVegas🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.82%E -2.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 02:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.82%E -2.63%K -8.49%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-15 02:40
Betr (AU)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-14 20:20
betfred_uk🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-14 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 02:55
BetRivers🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 02:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 02:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 02:55
Casumo🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 02:55
Unibet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 02:55
ATG (SE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 02:55
Svenska Spel🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 02:55
betPARX🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 02:55
Bally Bet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-09-15 02:55
TABtouch🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-09-15 01:50
SportsBet🎯	2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -6.40%E -2.30%K -3.60%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-09-14 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 18:15
Bet Victor🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 19:24
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 18:20
William Hill🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 18:20
betano_uk🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 18:19
ReBet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-14 22:45
BoyleSports🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-15 01:54
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-15 02:55
Virgin Bet🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.15%E -3.60%K -11.97%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-15 02:55
Neds🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.83%E -1.24%K -3.81%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-14 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -1.83%E -1.24%K -3.81%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-09-14 23:10
Paddy Power🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.48%E -3.11%K -10.19%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-14 18:55
Grosvenor🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.14%E -5.10%K -17.84%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-15 01:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.73%EV -10.78%E -4.07%K -6.53%G +0.000%	1.41I 70.92%NM 65.27%EV -6.47%E -4.59%K -15.79%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-09-14 23:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.57%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.55%G +0.000%	1.38I 72.46%NM 64.43%EV -8.46%E -6.13%K -22.27%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-09-14 22:45

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Kalshi◎	3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%	1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%	1.0%	2026-09-14 23:55
Polymarket◎	3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%	1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%	1.0%	2026-09-15 02:55
Novig◎	3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%	1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%	1.0%	2026-09-15 02:55
ProphetX◎	3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%	1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%	1.4%	2026-09-15 01:20
Matchbook◎	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%	1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%	3.5%	2026-09-15 01:00
Smarkets◎	2.68I 37.31%NM 34.47%	1.41I 70.92%NM 65.53%	8.2%	2026-09-14 20:45