Language:English
Cincinnati Reds v Chicago Cubs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cincinnati Reds (Local)
Prediction 40.53%2.47fair odd
EV +0.927%
Edge +0.372%
Kelly +0.622%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.54%40.57%42.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4945.45%42.52%42.55%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago Cubs (Visit)
Prediction 59.47%1.68fair odd
EV -0.095%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.140%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.84%59.46%59.43%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.601.601.6865.79%62.39%62.50%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cincinnati Reds (Local): 40.53%; Chicago Cubs (Visit): 59.47%. For Cincinnati Reds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.49, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.927%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV +0.927%E +0.372%K +0.622%G +0.006% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%EV +0.521%E +0.210%K +0.352%G +0.002% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.116%E +0.047%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV +0.116%E +0.047%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.91%E -0.790%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -1.91%E -0.790%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 16:43 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -2.32%E -0.961%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.72%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 17:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.72%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.72%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.72%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.72%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.72%E -1.13%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.83%E -5.05%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.25%EV -3.13%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.75%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -3.13%E -1.31%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 17:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -3.53%E -1.48%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -3.94%E -1.66%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.34%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31%EV -0.095%E -0.057%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-20 14:53 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.88%E -1.14%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-20 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-20 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.75%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.45%E -3.43%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.15%E -2.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -5.15%E -2.20%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.31%EV -5.56%E -2.39%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.69%EV -2.47%E -1.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 15:11 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.96%E -2.57%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 15:11 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -6.77%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -0.690%E -0.413%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 06:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.77%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 06:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.77%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 10:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.77%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.77%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.66%E -2.26%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.77%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.26%E -2.64%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.77%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.04%E -3.82%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.77%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.77%E -2.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.64%E -4.23%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 17:32 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -7.59%E -3.33%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.07%E -1.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -7.59%E -3.33%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -7.23%E -4.64%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -7.59%E -3.33%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -8.42%E -5.47%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.47%E -1.51%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.80%E -3.91%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.85%E -3.03%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 17:28 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.86%EV -10.83%E -4.92%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.14%EV -9.61%E -6.32%K -18.48%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 17:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 16:49 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 17:04 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-09-20 12:59 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 16:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.34% | 1.7% | 2026-09-20 17:24 |