L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 20:11 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 2–1 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 42.97%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.130%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.098%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.33%43.04%42.89%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.112.222.202.3347.39%45.04%45.45%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.03%1.75cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.778%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.95%56.96%57.11%58.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.62%59.52%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.130%E +0.056%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 16:50
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.300%E -0.129%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-13 18:31
GTbets2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.729%E -0.316%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.504%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 19:00
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.504%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 19:00
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.16%E -0.504%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 18:30
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.59%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 18:30
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.59%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 17:00
BetAnything2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.59%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 20:10
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:09
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-13 14:10
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-13 14:10
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 14:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:09
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 17:30
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 17:30
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 19:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 20:10
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.74%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 14:10
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -4.17%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-13 17:01
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.17%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 14:10
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 14:09
MyBookie.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 16:50
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 14:40
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 17:01
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 17:00
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 14:10
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 16:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 14:10
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:10
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:01
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 14:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 14:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 14:41
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 14:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 14:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 14:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 19:58
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 12:30
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 17:50
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.89%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 16:50
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.75%E -3.11%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 16:50
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 20:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 16:50
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -8.46%E -3.97%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 19:50
NordicBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -9.32%E -4.42%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -1.35%E -0.778%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 16:50
Betsson2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -9.32%E -4.42%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -1.35%E -0.778%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-13 20:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-13 20:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-13 20:01
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-13 20:10
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-13 17:50
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%1.4%2026-06-13 20:10
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-06-13 20:10
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.7%2026-06-13 20:00
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%3.0%2026-06-13 20:10
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%3.8%2026-06-13 20:10