La escuela de los momios

Cincinnati Reds v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inicio: 2026-06-13 20:11 UTC

Final: Cincinnati Reds 2–1 Arizona Diamondbacks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Predicción 42.97%2.33momio equitativo
EV +0.130%
Ventaja +0.056%
Kelly +0.098%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%43.04%42.89%45.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.112.222.202.3347.39%45.04%45.45%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visitante)

Predicción 57.03%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.778%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.95%56.96%57.11%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.681.681.7361.73%59.62%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV +0.130%E +0.056%K +0.098%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 16:50
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 42.29%EV -0.300%E -0.129%K -0.227%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.71%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.9%2026-06-13 18:31
GTbets2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.729%E -0.316%K -0.557%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 19:00
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.504%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 19:00
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -1.16%E -0.504%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-13 19:00
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.16%E -0.504%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 18:30
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -1.59%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-13 18:30
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.59%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 17:00
BetAnything2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.59%E -0.694%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-13 17:40
Unibet (UK)2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 20:10
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 42.24%EV -2.45%E -1.08%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.76%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:09
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-13 14:10
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-13 14:10
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 14:20
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:10
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 20:09
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 17:30
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 17:30
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 19:50
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.31%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 20:10
FanDuel2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.74%E -1.67%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 14:10
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.40%EV -4.17%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.60%EV -2.49%E -1.45%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-13 17:01
SportsBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.17%E -1.87%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 14:10
Caesars2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 14:09
MyBookie.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 16:50
Bet Right2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 14:40
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.60%E -2.07%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 17:01
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 17:00
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.06%E -1.80%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 14:10
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 16:50
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 14:10
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:10
BetRivers2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:01
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:10
betPARX2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
Bally Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 17:00
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 14:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 14:20
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 14:41
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 14:20
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 14:20
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 14:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 19:58
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.91%E -3.58%K -9.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 12:30
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.46%E -2.48%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.62%E -4.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 17:50
DraftKings2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -5.89%E -2.69%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -3.63%E -2.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-13 16:50
Grosvenor2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -6.75%E -3.11%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 17:00
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.20%E -2.50%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 16:50
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 20:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.77%E -2.85%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-13 16:50
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -7.61%E -3.54%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.34%E -3.22%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.50%EV -8.46%E -3.97%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.50%EV -6.48%E -3.95%K -10.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-13 19:50
NordicBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -9.32%E -4.42%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -1.35%E -0.778%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 16:50
Betsson2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -9.32%E -4.42%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -1.35%E -0.778%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-13 20:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-13 20:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-06-13 20:01
Polymarket2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-13 20:10
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-06-13 17:50
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.33%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.67%1.4%2026-06-13 20:10
ProphetX2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.3%2026-06-13 20:10
BetOpenly2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%2.7%2026-06-13 20:00
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%3.0%2026-06-13 20:10
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%3.8%2026-06-13 20:10