La scuola delle quote

Cincinnati Reds v Arizona Diamondbacks

Inizio: 2026-06-12 23:16 UTC

Finale: Cincinnati Reds 2–5 Arizona Diamondbacks

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Casa)

Previsione 51.02%1.96quota equa
EV -1.52%
Vantaggio -0.789%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.47%51.10%51.05%52.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.861.871.9355.25%53.66%53.48%51.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arizona Diamondbacks (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.98%2.04quota equa
EV -0.579%
Vantaggio -0.285%
Kelly -0.563%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.78%48.90%48.95%50.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.871.961.952.0353.48%51.13%51.28%49.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.52%E -0.789%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 23:00
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.789%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 18:39
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 23:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 19:20
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 22:49
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.07%E -0.529%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 17:28
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 20:00
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.56%E -1.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 15:10
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.579%E -0.285%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.579%E -0.285%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:10
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.579%E -0.285%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:10
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.579%E -0.285%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 21:20
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 22:59
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:10
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:00
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 19:59
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.07%E -0.529%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-12 21:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 15:10
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 14:59
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 21:10
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 16:09
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 15:09
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 15:00
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:09
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:10
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:10
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 20:19
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 21:19
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:09
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 15:09
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 15:09
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 15:10
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.12%E -3.32%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 15:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 14:59
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:09
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:10
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:09
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:09
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:09
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:09
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 20:09
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 20:49
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -7.65%E -4.22%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.65%E -4.22%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.44%E -3.93%K -8.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 22:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75%0.1%2026-06-12 23:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-12 22:40
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-06-12 23:00
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-06-12 23:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-12 23:00
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%4.2%2026-06-12 23:09