L’École des cotes

Cincinnati Reds v Arizona Diamondbacks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-12 23:16 UTC

Score final : Cincinnati Reds 2–5 Arizona Diamondbacks

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cincinnati Reds (Local)

Prévision 51.02%1.96cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.789%
Kelly -1.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.47%51.10%51.05%52.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.811.861.871.9355.25%53.66%53.48%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arizona Diamondbacks (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.98%2.04cote équitable
EV -0.579%
Avantage -0.285%
Kelly -0.563%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.78%48.90%48.95%50.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.961.952.0353.48%51.13%51.28%49.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -1.52%E -0.789%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 23:00
Everygame1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.52%E -0.789%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 18:39
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.03%E -1.06%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -2.54%E -1.28%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-12 23:09
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-11 19:20
Fliff1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 22:49
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -1.07%E -0.529%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-12 17:28
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 16:10
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 21:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 20:00
FanDuel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -3.56%E -1.89%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -4.01%E -2.04%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-12 15:10
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.579%E -0.285%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.579%E -0.285%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:10
GTbets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.579%E -0.285%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:10
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 51.92%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.08%EV -0.579%E -0.285%K -0.563%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-12 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-12 21:20
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-12 22:59
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:10
Bovada1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:00
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:00
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 19:59
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -1.07%E -0.529%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-12 21:10
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 15:10
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 14:59
Bet Right1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 21:10
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 16:09
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 15:09
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 15:00
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:09
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:10
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:10
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 20:19
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-12 21:19
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 15:10
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.09%E -2.74%K -5.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.99%E -2.57%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:10
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 21:09
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 21:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 23:10
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 15:09
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 15:09
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 15:10
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -6.12%E -3.32%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 15:00
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.05%E -1.02%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-12 14:59
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:09
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -3.03%E -1.53%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 21:10
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:10
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:09
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:09
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:09
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:10
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:09
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 21:10
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 20:09
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.63%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 20:49
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -7.65%E -4.22%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-12 21:10
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -7.65%E -4.22%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -7.44%E -3.93%K -8.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.95I 51.28%NM 51.25%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.75%0.1%2026-06-12 23:10
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-06-12 23:10
Polymarket1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-06-12 22:40
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.37%1.3%2026-06-12 23:00
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.38%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%1.8%2026-06-12 23:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-06-12 23:00
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 49.74%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.26%4.2%2026-06-12 23:09