Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.32
assuming max odds 1.74
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 43.18%; Toronto Blue Jays (Visit): 56.82%. For Chicago White Sox (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.316. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.320, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.168%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV +0.168%E +0.073%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -7.38%E -4.53%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV +0.168%E +0.073%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -7.38%E -4.53%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.168%E +0.073%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.95%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.168%E +0.073%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.95%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.168%E +0.073%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.95%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.168%E +0.073%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.95%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV +0.168%E +0.073%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.95%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV +0.168%E +0.073%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -8.51%E -5.29%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.39%EV -0.263%E -0.114%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.61%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.695%E -0.302%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.695%E -0.302%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.695%E -0.302%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.24%E -3.78%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.695%E -0.302%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.24%E -3.78%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 15:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.695%E -0.302%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.24%E -3.78%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 15:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.695%E -0.302%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.95%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-04 17:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.56%E -0.684%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.56%E -0.684%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.95%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -1.56%E -0.684%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -10.22%E -6.47%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.93%EV -1.56%E -0.684%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.07%EV -10.22%E -6.47%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -1.13%E -0.647%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 17:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 13:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.24%E -3.78%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.81%E -4.15%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 15:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.81%E -4.15%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 15:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -2.85%E -1.27%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.79%E -6.87%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.72%EV -3.29%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.28%EV -1.13%E -0.647%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 17:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.29%E -1.47%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 13:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.72%E -1.67%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-04 18:08 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.16%EV -3.72%E -1.67%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.84%EV -11.35%E -7.28%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.15%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 12:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.15%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.15%E -1.87%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-04 12:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -1.13%E -0.647%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.83%E -1.66%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 12:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.40%E -2.00%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 15:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 15:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 15:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 15:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 15:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 15:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 12:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.67%E -3.42%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 12:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.24%E -3.78%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 18:01 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.24%E -3.78%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 12:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.01%E -2.28%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.95%E -4.90%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 15:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.88%E -2.70%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 18:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.88%E -2.70%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 18:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -6.31%E -2.91%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -3.97%E -2.35%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 17:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.17%E -3.34%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.10%E -3.06%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -8.47%E -3.99%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -4.54%E -2.70%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.33%E -4.44%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -10.22%E -6.47%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Novig◎ | 2.29I 43.67%NM 43.32% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.68% | 0.8% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 18:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15% | 3.0% | 2026-04-04 18:10 |