Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox v Tampa Bay Rays

Kickoff: 2026-04-16 18:11 UTC

Final: Chicago White Sox 3–5 Tampa Bay Rays

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago White Sox (Local)

Prediction 45.78%2.18fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.736%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%45.73%45.78%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.082.082.1551.02%48.09%48.08%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tampa Bay Rays (Visit)

Prediction 54.22%1.84fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.720%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.27%54.22%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.761.761.8259.52%56.95%56.82%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago White Sox (Local): 45.78%; Tampa Bay Rays (Visit): 54.22%. For Tampa Bay Rays (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.82, with an expected value of -1.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.58%E -0.736%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 17:35
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.58%E -0.736%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 15:10
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.58%E -0.736%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.36%E -4.95%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-16 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.04%E -0.954%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.85%E -1.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-16 18:00
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 46.08%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.92%EV -1.31%E -0.720%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.9%2026-04-16 16:15
Everygame🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -1.85%E -1.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-16 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 17:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.50%E -1.17%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-16 17:35
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -2.96%E -1.39%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-16 18:00
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.41%E -1.62%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.31%E -0.720%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-16 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 17:40
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 13:05
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 17:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 17:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 18:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-16 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 18:10
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 18:09
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 18:09
Bally Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 18:10
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-16 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 15:39
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 23:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.87%E -1.84%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 13:10
DraftKings🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.33%E -2.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 17:50
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.33%E -2.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 18:04
Dabble (AU)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.02%E -2.27%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-16 18:05
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-16 17:50
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.79%E -2.30%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-16 18:10
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:09
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.24%E -2.53%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.70%E -2.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 16:10
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 01:58
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 01:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-16 02:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.48%E -1.96%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 01:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.56%E -2.59%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 17:50
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.11%E -2.92%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 17:49
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.65%E -3.25%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 18:00
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.19%E -3.58%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-16 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.73%E -3.91%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 18:10
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.16%E -3.01%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.28%E -4.25%K -10.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.45%EV -6.62%E -3.24%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -7.53%E -3.73%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -7.82%E -4.60%K -11.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 18:10
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.40%E -1.33%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-16 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.45%E -4.22%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.90%E -5.30%K -13.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-16 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.15%EV -10.28%E -5.25%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.85%EV -8.90%E -5.30%K -13.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-16 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-04-16 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-04-16 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%0.6%2026-04-16 17:30
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-04-16 18:10
ProphetX2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-04-16 18:10
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-16 18:10
BetOpenly2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-04-16 18:09
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.08%2.7%2026-04-16 18:10
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%4.6%2026-04-16 18:10